Stock Analysis

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

NYSE:TOL
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Toll Brothers' (NYSE:TOL) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Toll Brothers, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) รท (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = US$2.1b รท (US$13b - US$2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2024).

Thus, Toll Brothers has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 14% generated by the Consumer Durables industry.

View our latest analysis for Toll Brothers

roce
NYSE:TOL Return on Capital Employed August 21st 2024

In the above chart we have measured Toll Brothers' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Toll Brothers for free.

What Can We Tell From Toll Brothers' ROCE Trend?

Toll Brothers is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 96% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. On that front, things are looking good so it's worth exploring what management has said about growth plans going forward.

The Bottom Line

To bring it all together, Toll Brothers has done well to increase the returns it's generating from its capital employed. And a remarkable 299% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.

On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for Toll Brothers (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

While Toll Brothers isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Toll Brothers might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.