Toll Brothers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Toll Brothers is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 2.5% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.4% in 3 years.

Key information

2.5%

Earnings growth rate

7.0%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth	8.2%
Revenue growth rate	4.4%
Future return on equity	17.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

An Intrinsic Calculation For Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Jan 28

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

Jan 04

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

Dec 21

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Dec 19

Toll Brothers: Fiscal Q4 Results Validate The Bullish Case

Dec 11

Is Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 12

Should You Be Adding Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) To Your Watchlist Today?

Oct 30

Should You Think About Buying Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Now?

Oct 15

Toll Brothers Can Likely Withstand Higher Rates

Oct 04

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.21

Sep 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TOL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
10/31/2026	10,886	1,363	702	845	6
10/31/2025	10,617	1,385	879	1,005	13
10/31/2024	10,092	1,445	1,296	1,243	13
1/31/2024	10,163	1,420	1,250	1,317	N/A
10/31/2023	9,995	1,372	1,193	1,266	N/A
7/31/2023	10,687	1,567	1,839	1,908	N/A
4/30/2023	10,494	1,426	1,265	1,337	N/A
1/31/2023	10,265	1,326	837	910	N/A
10/31/2022	10,276	1,287	915	987	N/A
7/31/2022	9,605	1,020	530	608	N/A
4/30/2022	9,365	982	994	1,071	N/A
1/31/2022	9,018	889	896	967	N/A
10/31/2021	8,790	834	1,236	1,303	N/A
7/31/2021	8,295	659	1,235	1,315	N/A
4/30/2021	7,691	538	1,138	1,227	N/A
1/31/2021	7,310	486	1,333	1,430	N/A
10/31/2020	7,078	447	899	1,008	N/A
7/31/2020	6,911	450	456	557	N/A
4/30/2020	7,025	481	239	332	N/A
1/31/2020	7,192	535	162	256	N/A
10/31/2019	7,224	590	351	438	N/A
7/31/2019	7,300	699	617	685	N/A
4/30/2019	7,448	746	762	829	N/A
1/31/2019	7,331	728	687	733	N/A
10/31/2018	7,143	748	560	588	N/A
7/31/2018	6,716	629	455	483	N/A
4/30/2018	6,305	584	372	396	N/A
1/31/2018	6,070	597	587	611	N/A
10/31/2017	5,815	535	N/A	862	N/A
7/31/2017	5,643	458	N/A	882	N/A
4/30/2017	5,410	415	N/A	408	N/A
1/31/2017	5,162	379	N/A	196	N/A
10/31/2016	5,170	382	N/A	151	N/A
7/31/2016	4,751	415	N/A	-154	N/A
4/30/2016	4,509	376	N/A	82	N/A
1/31/2016	4,246	355	N/A	70	N/A
10/31/2015	4,171	363	N/A	60	N/A
7/31/2015	4,085	348	N/A	163	N/A
4/30/2015	4,114	378	N/A	341	N/A
1/31/2015	4,121	376	N/A	531	N/A
10/31/2014	3,912	340	N/A	313	N/A
7/31/2014	3,605	303	N/A	-74	N/A
4/30/2014	3,238	252	N/A	-190	N/A
1/31/2014	2,893	212	N/A	-514	N/A
10/31/2013	2,674	171	N/A	-569	N/A
7/31/2013	2,263	487	N/A	-396	N/A
4/30/2013	2,128	502	N/A	-346	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TOL's forecast earnings growth (2.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: TOL's earnings (2.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TOL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TOL's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TOL's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.4%).

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Toll Brothers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.3% to US$123

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$119

Toll Brothers, Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024

Price target increased by 9.3% to US$99.24

Recent updates

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Luxury Townhome Community Coming Soon to Charlotte, North Carolina

Toll Brothers: Well Positioned To Benefit From Current Macro Backdrop

Toll Brothers Announces Opening of Forestville Village Community in Knightdale, North Carolina

Toll Brothers Opens Two New Model Homes at its Paloma Ridge Community in Kuna, Idaho

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Luxury Single-Family Home Community, Toll Brothers at Fosdick Glen, Coming Soon to Saline, Michigan

Toll Brothers, Inc. Opens Four New Luxury Model Homes in Folsom, California

We Think Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Toll Brothers, Inc. to Host Model Home Grand Opening at its New Harris Ranch Community in Sparks, Nevada on April 6, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share

Senior VP & CFO recently sold US$620k worth of stock

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Regency at Tracy Lakes 55+ Community in Tracy, California

Is There Now An Opportunity In Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL)?

First quarter dividend increased to US$0.23

Toll Brothers Announces its Two New Home Collections at the Enclave at the Woodlands Are Selling Quickly in Spring, Texas

Toll Brothers, Inc. Approves Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on April 19, 2024

Toll Brothers Announces Opening of Four New Model Homes in Scottsdale and Fountain Hills, Arizona

Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Aldie, Virginia

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Opening of Canter Square Luxury Townhome Community in Monmouth County, New Jersey

Independent Director recently sold US$1.2m worth of stock

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Opening of New Luxury Home Community in Naples, Florida

Price target increased by 7.3% to US$123

Senior VP & CFO notifies of intention to sell stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Price target increased by 7.2% to US$119

Toll: Increased Demand Highlights A Strong Q1

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New 55+ Active Adult Community to Indian Land, South Carolina

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Toll Brothers, Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024

Toll Brothers, Inc.'s (NYSE:TOL) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Quakertown, Pennsylvania

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Its Newest Community, Toll Brothers At Jordanelle Ridge

Here's Why We Think Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Is Well Worth Watching

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Community, Edgewood by Toll Brothers, is Coming Soon to Intersection of Walnut Lake Road and Haggerty Road in West Bloomfield Township, Michigan

Toll Brothers, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Feb 20, 2024

Toll Brothers Opens New Boutique Luxury Home Community in Greenville, South Carolina

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

An Intrinsic Calculation For Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Toll Brothers, Inc. At Northside Opens New Model Home in Camas School District Near Portland

Toll Brothers Opens New Luxury Single-Family Home Community in Worcester Township, Pennsylvania

Toll Brothers Opens Two Model Homes At the Ridge At Big Rock Community in Duvall, Washington

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Opening of Toll Brothers at Verdier Pointe, Luxury Single-Family Home Community in Charleston, South Carolina

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Phase Now Open At Walsh Master-Planned Community in Fort Worth, Texas

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Luxury Single-Family Home Community Opening in Valencia, California

Toll Brothers, Inc. Opens Newest Model Home in Southwest Washington State

Lead Independent Director recently sold US$997k worth of stock

Lead Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Toll Brothers, Inc. Opens New Luxury Single-Family Home Community Toll Brothers at Pomona - Orchard Collection in Houston, Texas

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

Senior VP & CFO recently sold US$1.3m worth of stock

Toll Brothers Opens Two Luxury Model Homes on Long Island, N.Y

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Chairman & CEO notifies of intention to sell stock

Toll Brothers, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 12, 2024

Toll Brothers: Fiscal Q4 Results Validate The Bullish Case

President & COO recently sold US$1.1m worth of stock

Price target increased by 9.3% to US$99.24

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Orlando

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Haymarket, Virginia

Toll Brothers, Inc. Announces Opening of New Collection of Luxury Homes in the Oaks at Kelly Park in Apopka, Florida

Is Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Using Too Much Debt?

Toll Brothers, Inc. Opens Haven Oaks Luxury Home Community in Orlando, Florida

Toll Brothers, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Dec 05, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Toll Brothers Opens Luxury New Construction Community in Princeton, New Jersey

Should You Be Adding Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) To Your Watchlist Today?

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) acquired Property in Silicon Valley town of Milpitas from True Life Companies Elite Fund III, LLC.

Toll Brothers Opens Phase II At Preserve At San Tan Community in Arizona

Should You Think About Buying Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Now?