Toll Brothers, Inc.

NYSE:TOL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.8b

Toll Brothers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Toll Brothers is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 1.9% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.7% in 3 years.

Key information

1.9%

Earnings growth rate

4.7%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth8.5%
Revenue growth rate5.5%
Future return on equity15.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Toll Brothers: Rating Upgrade To Buy On Better Fundamentals

Dec 11

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Toll Brothers' (NYSE:TOL) Returns On Capital

Nov 24
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Toll Brothers' (NYSE:TOL) Returns On Capital

At US$158, Is Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Worth Looking At Closely?

Nov 09
At US$158, Is Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Worth Looking At Closely?

Toll Brothers: Well-Positioned For A Changing Environment

Nov 08

Does Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 25
Does Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Toll Brothers, Inc.'s (NYSE:TOL) Tunnel

Oct 09
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Toll Brothers, Inc.'s (NYSE:TOL) Tunnel

Toll Brothers: Valuation Has Already Priced In Near-Term Upside

Sep 03

Toll Brothers: Demographic Demand, Spec Home Strategy, And Land Control Supporting Growth

Aug 26

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Aug 21
Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Should You Investigate Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) At US$127?

Aug 09
Should You Investigate Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) At US$127?

Toll Brothers: Undervalued, And Luxury Home Builder

Jul 31

We Think Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Jul 12
We Think Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Investors Aren't Buying Toll Brothers, Inc.'s (NYSE:TOL) Earnings

Jun 26
Investors Aren't Buying Toll Brothers, Inc.'s (NYSE:TOL) Earnings

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TOL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
10/31/202712,4041,602N/A1,3012
10/31/202611,8921,5666241,08212
10/31/202511,0241,4509481,17411
10/31/202410,8471,5719371,010N/A
7/31/202410,5331,541845919N/A
4/30/202410,4931,5821,2101,273N/A
1/31/202410,1631,4201,2501,317N/A
10/31/20239,9951,3721,1931,266N/A
7/31/202310,6871,5671,8391,908N/A
4/30/202310,4941,4261,2651,337N/A
1/31/202310,2651,326837910N/A
10/31/202210,2761,287915987N/A
7/31/20229,6051,020530608N/A
4/30/20229,3659829941,071N/A
1/31/20229,018889896967N/A
10/31/20218,7908341,2361,303N/A
7/31/20218,2956591,2351,315N/A
4/30/20217,6915381,1381,227N/A
1/31/20217,3104861,3331,430N/A
10/31/20207,0784478991,008N/A
7/31/20206,911450456557N/A
4/30/20207,025481239332N/A
1/31/20207,192535162256N/A
10/31/20197,224590351438N/A
7/31/20197,300699617685N/A
4/30/20197,448746762829N/A
1/31/20197,331728687733N/A
10/31/20187,143748560588N/A
7/31/20186,716629N/A483N/A
4/30/20186,305584N/A396N/A
1/31/20186,070597N/A611N/A
10/31/20175,815535N/A862N/A
7/31/20175,643458N/A882N/A
4/30/20175,410415N/A408N/A
1/31/20175,162379N/A196N/A
10/31/20165,170382N/A151N/A
7/31/20164,751415N/A-154N/A
4/30/20164,509376N/A82N/A
1/31/20164,246355N/A70N/A
10/31/20154,171363N/A60N/A
7/31/20154,085348N/A163N/A
4/30/20154,114378N/A341N/A
1/31/20154,121376N/A531N/A
10/31/20143,912340N/A313N/A
7/31/20143,605303N/A-74N/A
4/30/20143,238252N/A-190N/A
1/31/20142,893212N/A-514N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TOL's forecast earnings growth (1.9% per year) is below the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TOL's earnings (1.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TOL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TOL's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TOL's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 22:50
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/10/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Matthew BouleyBarclays