Toll Brothers Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 4/6
Toll Brothers is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 0.78% that is well covered by earnings.
Key information
0.8%
Dividend yield
5.7%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 6.4% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Growth | 14.7% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 8% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 08
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Tempered By Housing Cycle Uncertainty
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to about $138 from roughly $135, reflecting updated price targets that lean on recent Q3 strength in luxury demand, higher average selling prices, and continued execution despite a choppy housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers points to a generally constructive view on the luxury homebuilder, with several firms lifting price targets following the fiscal Q3 report.
Narrative Update • Aug 25
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And Land Position Will Support Future Upside
The updated fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased from $187.00 to $195.00. This change reflects analysts' higher price targets that highlight resilient luxury housing demand, strong average selling prices, and solid execution in what they describe as a tough and choppy operating backdrop.Analysis Article • Aug 21
The Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) filed its third-quarter result this time last...Seeking Alpha • Aug 19
Toll Brothers: Relatively Resilient To Rate Pressures
Summary Toll Brothers remains resilient in a challenging housing market, benefiting from its focus on higher-end buyers and a strong balance sheet. Despite macro headwinds, TOL's Q3 EPS of $2.97 beat estimates, but margins and backlog are under pressure amid weak orders and elevated rates. Management maintains a conservative approach to land inventory, prioritizing financial flexibility and shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends. With shares trading at 10.5x 2027 EPS, I maintain a 'hold' rating, awaiting a pullback to $135 for a more attractive entry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 19
Toll Brothers: Q3 Shows Resilient Demand, But Margins Remain Under Pressure
Disclosure: I do not hold shares in Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' latest quarter presents a mixed picture.Narrative Update • Aug 11
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Constrained By Peer Multiple Compression
Analysts have nudged the Toll Brothers fair value estimate higher, with the implied target moving about $3 to $134.86 as they point to resilient luxury housing demand, margin defense and a more favorable view of future price-to-earnings and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on Toll Brothers show a mixed picture.
Narrative Update • Jul 28
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And New Communities Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest fair value adjustment to $168.20, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small upward revision to the assumed future P/E multiple, as analysts highlight the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toll Brothers points to a mix of optimism and caution.Narrative Update • Jul 14
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Likely Struggle Against Ongoing Peer Multiple Pressure
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised higher, reflecting a fair value estimate increase from about $126.90 to $131.73. This revision is supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which are aligned with recent Street research highlighting the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand.Narrative Update • Jun 30
TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...Narrative Update • Jun 16
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.Narrative Update • Jun 02
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Analysis Article • May 23
Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...Stability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: TOL's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: TOL's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Toll Brothers Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (TOL) | 0.8% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.2% |
| Industry Average (Consumer Durables) | 1.6% |
| Analyst forecast (TOL) (up to 3 years) | 0.8% |
Notable Dividend: TOL's dividend (0.78%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.38%).
High Dividend: TOL's dividend (0.78%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.17%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its low payout ratio (8.1%), TOL's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its low cash payout ratio (8.8%), TOL's dividend payments are thoroughly covered by cash flows.
Discover strong dividend paying companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/18 21:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/07/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/10/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |