Toll Brothers, Inc.

NYSE:TOL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.0b

Toll Brothers Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Toll Brothers is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 0.71%.

Key information

0.7%

Dividend yield

5.4%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield6.1%
Future Dividend Yield0.7%
Dividend Growth15.1%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio8%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.
Analysis Article May 23

Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
Narrative Update May 16

TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.
Seeking Alpha May 05

Toll Brothers: Not An Easy Buy, But Valuation And Fundamentals Reassure Us

Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. remains a buy due to its cheap valuation, robust fundamentals, and strategic luxury market positioning. TOL trades at a P/E of 9.98x and a PEG of 0.80x, with a DDM-derived target price of $155.22, supporting upside potential. Resilient demand from affluent buyers, geographic diversification, and prudent debt management underpin TOL’s stability despite macroeconomic headwinds. Technical indicators suggest caution ahead of Q2 2026 results, but strong liquidity, M&A activity, and guidance for 2,400-2,500 home deliveries reinforce long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 29

TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.
Narrative Update Apr 15

TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.
Narrative Update Apr 01

TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View

Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.
Narrative Update Mar 18

TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.
Narrative Update Mar 04

TOL: Luxury Demand And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised from $154.13 to $172.75, as analysts highlight the company’s position in the luxury segment, its recent earnings outperformance, and a series of higher Street targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers point to a wide spread of price targets, but a generally constructive tone around the company’s execution in the luxury segment and its earnings delivery.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: TOL is not paying a notable dividend for the US market, therefore no need to check if payments are stable.

Growing Dividend: TOL is not paying a notable dividend for the US market, therefore no need to check if payments are increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Toll Brothers Dividend Yield vs Market
How does TOL dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (TOL)0.7%
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Consumer Durables)1.7%
Analyst forecast (TOL) (up to 3 years)0.7%

Notable Dividend: TOL's dividend (0.71%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.41%).

High Dividend: TOL's dividend (0.71%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.24%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: TOL is not paying a notable dividend for the US market.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: TOL is not paying a notable dividend for the US market.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 21:28
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/04/30
Annual Earnings2025/10/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Stephen KimBarclays
Matthew BouleyBarclays