Toll Brothers Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Toll Brothers has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 11.7%, while the Consumer Durables industry saw earnings declining at 0.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 5.5% per year. Toll Brothers's return on equity is 15.2%, and it has net margins of 11.7%.
Key information
11.73%
Earnings growth rate
16.35%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables Industry Growth | 24.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.49% |
| Return on equity | 15.18% |
| Net Margin | 11.66% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Apr 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.Toll Brothers: Not An Easy Buy, But Valuation And Fundamentals Reassure Us
Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. remains a buy due to its cheap valuation, robust fundamentals, and strategic luxury market positioning. TOL trades at a P/E of 9.98x and a PEG of 0.80x, with a DDM-derived target price of $155.22, supporting upside potential. Resilient demand from affluent buyers, geographic diversification, and prudent debt management underpin TOL’s stability despite macroeconomic headwinds. Technical indicators suggest caution ahead of Q2 2026 results, but strong liquidity, M&A activity, and guidance for 2,400-2,500 home deliveries reinforce long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.TOL: Luxury Demand And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised from $154.13 to $172.75, as analysts highlight the company’s position in the luxury segment, its recent earnings outperformance, and a series of higher Street targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers point to a wide spread of price targets, but a generally constructive tone around the company’s execution in the luxury segment and its earnings delivery.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Toll Brothers makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 26 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,053 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,050 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 25 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,033 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 25 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 1,019 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 25 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 1,011 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 25 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 993 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 24 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 983 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 24 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 954 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 24 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 938 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 24 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 928 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 23 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 909 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 23 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 942 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 23 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 945 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 23 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 961 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 22 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 976 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 22 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 960 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 9,365 | 982 | 961 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 22 | 9,018 | 889 | 936 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 21 | 8,790 | 834 | 920 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 21 | 8,295 | 659 | 908 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 21 | 7,691 | 538 | 868 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 21 | 7,310 | 486 | 858 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 20 | 7,078 | 447 | 866 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 20 | 6,911 | 450 | 974 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 20 | 7,025 | 481 | 967 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 20 | 7,192 | 535 | 937 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 19 | 7,224 | 590 | 879 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 19 | 7,300 | 699 | 714 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 19 | 7,448 | 746 | 702 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 19 | 7,331 | 728 | 690 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 18 | 7,143 | 748 | 822 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 18 | 6,716 | 629 | 667 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 18 | 6,305 | 584 | 648 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 18 | 6,070 | 597 | 628 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 17 | 5,815 | 535 | 607 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 17 | 5,643 | 458 | 589 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 17 | 5,410 | 415 | 569 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 17 | 5,162 | 379 | 551 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 16 | 5,170 | 382 | 535 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 16 | 4,751 | 415 | 510 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 16 | 4,509 | 376 | 491 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 16 | 4,246 | 355 | 471 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 15 | 4,171 | 363 | 455 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 15 | 4,085 | 348 | 450 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TOL has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TOL's current net profit margins (11.7%) are lower than last year (12.9%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TOL's earnings have grown by 11.7% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TOL's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TOL had negative earnings growth (-6.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Durables industry average (-16.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TOL's Return on Equity (15.2%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/10 21:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/10/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |