Toll Brothers Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Toll Brothers has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 8.1%, while the Consumer Durables industry saw earnings declining at 6.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.4% per year. Toll Brothers's return on equity is 14%, and it has net margins of 11.1%.
Key information
8.05%
Earnings growth rate
12.77%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables Industry Growth | 24.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.40% |
| Return on equity | 14.03% |
| Net Margin | 11.14% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Tempered By Housing Cycle Uncertainty
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to about $138 from roughly $135, reflecting updated price targets that lean on recent Q3 strength in luxury demand, higher average selling prices, and continued execution despite a choppy housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers points to a generally constructive view on the luxury homebuilder, with several firms lifting price targets following the fiscal Q3 report.
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And Land Position Will Support Future Upside
The updated fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased from $187.00 to $195.00. This change reflects analysts' higher price targets that highlight resilient luxury housing demand, strong average selling prices, and solid execution in what they describe as a tough and choppy operating backdrop.The Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) filed its third-quarter result this time last...Toll Brothers: Relatively Resilient To Rate Pressures
Summary Toll Brothers remains resilient in a challenging housing market, benefiting from its focus on higher-end buyers and a strong balance sheet. Despite macro headwinds, TOL's Q3 EPS of $2.97 beat estimates, but margins and backlog are under pressure amid weak orders and elevated rates. Management maintains a conservative approach to land inventory, prioritizing financial flexibility and shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends. With shares trading at 10.5x 2027 EPS, I maintain a 'hold' rating, awaiting a pullback to $135 for a more attractive entry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Toll Brothers: Q3 Shows Resilient Demand, But Margins Remain Under Pressure
Disclosure: I do not hold shares in Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' latest quarter presents a mixed picture.TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Constrained By Peer Multiple Compression
Analysts have nudged the Toll Brothers fair value estimate higher, with the implied target moving about $3 to $134.86 as they point to resilient luxury housing demand, margin defense and a more favorable view of future price-to-earnings and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on Toll Brothers show a mixed picture.
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And New Communities Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest fair value adjustment to $168.20, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small upward revision to the assumed future P/E multiple, as analysts highlight the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toll Brothers points to a mix of optimism and caution.TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Likely Struggle Against Ongoing Peer Multiple Pressure
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised higher, reflecting a fair value estimate increase from about $126.90 to $131.73. This revision is supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which are aligned with recent Street research highlighting the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand.TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Toll Brothers makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 26 | 10,759 | 1,198 | 1,065 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 26 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,053 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,050 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 25 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,033 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 25 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 1,019 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 25 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 1,011 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 25 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 993 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 24 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 983 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 24 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 954 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 24 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 938 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 24 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 928 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 23 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 909 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 23 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 942 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 23 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 945 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 23 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 961 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 22 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 976 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 22 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 960 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 9,365 | 982 | 961 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 22 | 9,018 | 889 | 936 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 21 | 8,790 | 834 | 920 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 21 | 8,295 | 659 | 908 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 21 | 7,691 | 538 | 868 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 21 | 7,310 | 486 | 858 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 20 | 7,078 | 447 | 866 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 20 | 6,911 | 450 | 974 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 20 | 7,025 | 481 | 967 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 20 | 7,192 | 535 | 937 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 19 | 7,224 | 590 | 879 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 19 | 7,300 | 699 | 714 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 19 | 7,448 | 746 | 702 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 19 | 7,331 | 728 | 690 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 18 | 7,143 | 748 | 822 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 18 | 6,716 | 629 | 667 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 18 | 6,305 | 584 | 648 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 18 | 6,070 | 597 | 628 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 17 | 5,815 | 535 | 607 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 17 | 5,643 | 458 | 589 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 17 | 5,410 | 415 | 569 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 17 | 5,162 | 379 | 551 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 16 | 5,170 | 382 | 535 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 16 | 4,751 | 415 | 510 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 16 | 4,509 | 376 | 491 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 16 | 4,246 | 355 | 471 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 15 | 4,171 | 363 | 455 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TOL has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TOL's current net profit margins (11.1%) are lower than last year (12.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TOL's earnings have grown by 8.1% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TOL's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TOL had negative earnings growth (-12.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Durables industry average (-11.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TOL's Return on Equity (14%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/20 01:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/07/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/10/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |