Stock Analysis

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.21

NYSE:TOL
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Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.21 per share on the 20th of October. The dividend yield is 1.1% based on this payment, which is a little bit low compared to the other companies in the industry.

View our latest analysis for Toll Brothers

Toll Brothers' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. However, prior to this announcement, Toll Brothers' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

EPS is set to fall by 5.0% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 7.2%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.

historic-dividend
NYSE:TOL Historic Dividend September 29th 2023

Toll Brothers Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

It is great to see that Toll Brothers has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from $0.32 total annually to $0.84. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 15% over that duration. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. We are encouraged to see that Toll Brothers has grown earnings per share at 29% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

Toll Brothers Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we like to see the dividend staying consistent, and we think Toll Brothers might even raise payments in the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Toll Brothers has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.