Stock Analysis

Many Still Looking Away From LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH)

NasdaqGS:LGIH
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) as an attractive investment with its 13.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for LGI Homes as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for LGI Homes

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LGIH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think LGI Homes' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For LGI Homes?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, LGI Homes would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 34% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that LGI Homes is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that LGI Homes currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with LGI Homes (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of LGI Homes' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether LGI Homes is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.