LGI Homes, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LGIH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.1b

LGI Homes Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

LGI Homes is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.1% and 10.2% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 12.4% per annum.

Key information

13.1%

Earnings growth rate

12.37%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth7.5%
Revenue growth rate10.2%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated01 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

LGI Homes, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 07
LGI Homes, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Recent updates

LGIH: New Community Expansion And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have reset their price target for LGI Homes to $93.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 11.93%, a profit margin of 4.81%, and a future P/E of 25.71x. Together, these factors reshape expectations for the stock’s return profile.

LGIH: Expanded Communities And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their $65.50 price target for LGI Homes, noting minor revisions to their assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that together leave their overall valuation view unchanged for now. What's in the News LGI Homes issued 2026 guidance, expecting home closings between 4,600 and 5,400 and an average sales price per home closed between US$355,000 and US$365,000 (Corporate guidance).

LGIH: New Master-Planned Communities Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential

The analyst price target for LGI Homes has shifted slightly, with fair value moving from $95.00 to $93.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News LGI Homes opened Eldorado in Bremerton, its largest Seattle area community to date, with 491 homesites and more than ten acres of amenities valued at about US$3 million, including trails, recreational fields and picnic areas, with homes starting in the low US$500,000s (Key Developments).

LGIH: New Community Openings And 2026 Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted the LGI Homes price target from $67.50 to $65.50 as they balance higher modeled revenue growth with lower profit margin assumptions and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grand opening of Evergreen Ridge in Colorado Springs, offering 138 upgraded, low maintenance townhomes starting from $399,900 with CompleteHome Plus packages and community park amenities planned, in a location close to major outdoor attractions and city centers (Key Developments).

LGIH: Ongoing Community Expansion Will Struggle Against Constrained Margin Outlook

Analysts are keeping their price target for LGI Homes steady at $38.00, reflecting small revisions to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that offset each other in their updated models. What's in the News LGI Homes announced the Grand Opening of Meadow Brook in Puyallup, Washington, a 53 home community with three to five bedroom floor plans and its CompleteHome Plus package included at no extra cost.

LGIH: Lower Margin Outlook Will Pressure Shares Despite New Community Openings

Analysts have reduced their price target on LGI Homes from $40 to $38, citing updated assumptions that combine higher modeled revenue growth with lower profit margins and a higher future P/E. What's in the News LGI Homes issued earnings guidance for 2026, projecting home closings between 4,600 and 5,400 and an average sales price per home between $355,000 and $365,000 (Corporate guidance).

LGIH: Community Expansion Pipeline Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on LGI Homes from about $75.67 to $67.50 as they adjust for updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Announced the Monte Vista Collection near Modesto, California, a new single story community offering five floor plans from 1,335 to 2,411 square feet, with CompleteHome Plus packages that include stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, energy efficient features and smart home technology (Key Developments).

LGIH: Slower Revenue Outlook Will Weigh On Shares Despite New Communities

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for LGI Homes steady at $40.00 while updating their assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This reflects a refined view of the company’s risk profile and earnings potential without shifting the overall price target.

LGI Homes Has A 'Lot' Of Problems (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 10

LGIH: Community Expansion Pipeline Will Support Bullish Long Term Outlook

Analysts have updated their price framework for LGI Homes, maintaining fair value at US$95.00 while revising key inputs. These include a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E, which together explain the change in their target rationale.

LGIH: Higher Discount Rate Will Pressure Shares Despite Stronger Expansion Plans

Analysts have trimmed their price target on LGI Homes from approximately $47.00 to $40.00 per share. This reflects the application of a higher discount rate and a lower forward valuation multiple, which more than offset stronger revenue growth assumptions and only modestly softer profit margins.

LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Nov 30
LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

LGI Homes, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 07
LGI Homes, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

US Housing And Sun Belt Demand Will Rise Despite Pressures

Analysts have raised LGI Homes' price target to $75.67, citing the company's effective inventory and leverage management in a challenging demand environment, despite margin pressures and competitive headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts believe LGI Homes is effectively managing lower demand through reducing standing spec inventory and targeting leverage near 40% by early 2026, which should support profitability.

US Housing And Sun Belt Demand Will Rise Despite Pressures

LGI Homes’ consensus price target has been markedly reduced to $72.33, primarily due to sharply lower revenue growth forecasts and a decline in expected valuation multiples. What's in the News LGI Homes continues to expand with multiple new community openings and product launches across key US markets, including significant offerings in North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and California.

LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Jul 17
LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

May 20
LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:LGIH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,99386-169513
12/31/20261,76265-44643
3/31/20261,67471-69-68N/A
12/31/20251,70673-141-140N/A
9/30/20251,789106-171-170N/A
6/30/20252,044156-176-174N/A
3/31/20252,163183-173-171N/A
12/31/20242,203196-146-144N/A
9/30/20242,254197-237-235N/A
6/30/20242,219195-335-333N/A
3/31/20242,262189-236-234N/A
12/31/20232,359199-58-57N/A
9/30/20232,238181-35-34N/A
6/30/20232,168205-15-14N/A
3/31/20232,246275-155-155N/A
12/31/20222,304327-372-370N/A
9/30/20222,617404-440-439N/A
6/30/20222,822414-383-381N/A
3/31/20222,890409-278-277N/A
12/31/20213,0504302022N/A
9/30/20213,146455187190N/A
6/30/20212,929443193196N/A
3/31/20212,619381300304N/A
12/31/20202,368324199202N/A
9/30/20202,076252174175N/A
6/30/20202,025213122123N/A
3/31/20202,0052034950N/A
12/31/20191,838179N/A-42N/A
9/30/20191,658156N/A-119N/A
6/30/20191,555145N/A-40N/A
3/31/20191,513146N/A-39N/A
12/31/20181,504155N/A-117N/A
9/30/20181,484148N/A-98N/A
6/30/20181,470144N/A-96N/A
3/31/20181,374129N/A-132N/A
12/31/20171,258113N/A-68N/A
9/30/20171,090101N/A-113N/A
6/30/201794087N/A-141N/A
3/31/201783975N/A-145N/A
12/31/201683875N/A-108N/A
9/30/201677868N/A-132N/A
6/30/201673664N/A-122N/A
3/31/201667257N/A-94N/A
12/31/201563053N/A-89N/A
9/30/201556245N/A-68N/A
6/30/201548036N/A-108N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LGIH's forecast earnings growth (13.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: LGIH's earnings (13.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LGIH's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LGIH's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LGIH's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LGIH's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 03:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

LGI Homes, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael RoxlandBofA Global Research
Aaron HechtCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Jay McCanlessCitizens JMP Securities, LLC