LGI Homes Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
LGI Homes's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -29.8%, while the Consumer Durables industry saw earnings declining at 1.9% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 10.4% per year. LGI Homes's return on equity is 3.4%, and it has net margins of 4.2%.
Key information
-29.78%
Earnings growth rate
-28.45%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables Industry Growth | 24.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | -10.38% |
| Return on equity | 3.36% |
| Net Margin | 4.22% |
| Next Earnings Update | 04 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 26
LGIH: Housing Act Tailwind And Community Expansion Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for LGI Homes has been updated from $65.50 to $93.00, with analysts citing revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as key drivers behind the new valuation framework. What's in the News for LGI Homes LGI Homes stock moved up 8.1% after the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act passed both chambers of Congress, with the bill aiming to streamline housing supply and limit further expansion by large institutional owners of existing single-family homes, according to recent reporting.Analysis Article • Jun 19
LGI Homes (LGIH) Stock Could Be 13.4% Undervalued After Margin Guidance Lift
Auditor change and margin outlook put LGI Homes in focus LGI Homes (LGIH) has attracted fresh attention after lifting its margin guidance and reporting improved adjusted profitability, alongside an auditor transition from Ernst & Young to Deloitte & Touche for the 2026 fiscal year. See our latest analysis for LGI Homes. LGI Homes has seen a sharp shift in sentiment, with a 1 month share price return of 39.8% and a 90 day share price return of 65.6% that coincides with stronger margin...
Narrative Update • Jun 08
LGIH: Community Expansion And Quality Recognition Will Face Ongoing Margin Pressure
Analysts have maintained the fair value estimate for LGI Homes at $41.00, while making small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that shape this updated price target view. What's in the News LGI Homes reported 498 home closings in May 2026, compared with 416 in May 2025, with 24 of the May 2026 closings tied to single family rental homes.Narrative Update • May 25
LGIH: Broad Community Expansion Will Continue To Face Pressured Profit Margins
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for LGI Homes from $38.00 to $41.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Opened Cypress Trails near Cypress, Texas, a master planned community in northwest Houston with more than 500 planned homes, two parks and homes starting in the $240s, ranging from 2 bedroom villas to 5 bedroom floor plans up to 2,916 square feet (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • May 02
LGIH: New Community Expansion And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have reset their price target for LGI Homes to $93.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 11.93%, a profit margin of 4.81%, and a future P/E of 25.71x. Together, these factors reshape expectations for the stock’s return profile.Narrative Update • Apr 18
LGIH: Expanded Communities And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $65.50 price target for LGI Homes, noting minor revisions to their assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that together leave their overall valuation view unchanged for now. What's in the News LGI Homes issued 2026 guidance, expecting home closings between 4,600 and 5,400 and an average sales price per home closed between US$355,000 and US$365,000 (Corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Apr 03
LGIH: New Master-Planned Communities Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
The analyst price target for LGI Homes has shifted slightly, with fair value moving from $95.00 to $93.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News LGI Homes opened Eldorado in Bremerton, its largest Seattle area community to date, with 491 homesites and more than ten acres of amenities valued at about US$3 million, including trails, recreational fields and picnic areas, with homes starting in the low US$500,000s (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 20
LGIH: New Community Openings And 2026 Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted the LGI Homes price target from $67.50 to $65.50 as they balance higher modeled revenue growth with lower profit margin assumptions and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grand opening of Evergreen Ridge in Colorado Springs, offering 138 upgraded, low maintenance townhomes starting from $399,900 with CompleteHome Plus packages and community park amenities planned, in a location close to major outdoor attractions and city centers (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 06
LGIH: Ongoing Community Expansion Will Struggle Against Constrained Margin Outlook
Analysts are keeping their price target for LGI Homes steady at $38.00, reflecting small revisions to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that offset each other in their updated models. What's in the News LGI Homes announced the Grand Opening of Meadow Brook in Puyallup, Washington, a 53 home community with three to five bedroom floor plans and its CompleteHome Plus package included at no extra cost.Narrative Update • Feb 20
LGIH: Lower Margin Outlook Will Pressure Shares Despite New Community Openings
Analysts have reduced their price target on LGI Homes from $40 to $38, citing updated assumptions that combine higher modeled revenue growth with lower profit margins and a higher future P/E. What's in the News LGI Homes issued earnings guidance for 2026, projecting home closings between 4,600 and 5,400 and an average sales price per home between $355,000 and $365,000 (Corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 05
LGIH: Community Expansion Pipeline Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target on LGI Homes from about $75.67 to $67.50 as they adjust for updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Announced the Monte Vista Collection near Modesto, California, a new single story community offering five floor plans from 1,335 to 2,411 square feet, with CompleteHome Plus packages that include stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, luxury vinyl plank flooring, energy efficient features and smart home technology (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 22
LGIH: Slower Revenue Outlook Will Weigh On Shares Despite New Communities
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for LGI Homes steady at $40.00 while updating their assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This reflects a refined view of the company’s risk profile and earnings potential without shifting the overall price target.Narrative Update • Jan 08
LGIH: Community Expansion Pipeline Will Support Bullish Long Term Outlook
Analysts have updated their price framework for LGI Homes, maintaining fair value at US$95.00 while revising key inputs. These include a higher discount rate, lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E, which together explain the change in their target rationale.Narrative Update • Dec 15
LGIH: Higher Discount Rate Will Pressure Shares Despite Stronger Expansion Plans
Analysts have trimmed their price target on LGI Homes from approximately $47.00 to $40.00 per share. This reflects the application of a higher discount rate and a lower forward valuation multiple, which more than offset stronger revenue growth assumptions and only modestly softer profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 30
LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
LGI Homes, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LGIH ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the...Analysis Article • Nov 07
LGI Homes, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Shareholders of LGI Homes, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LGIH ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 13% to...Narrative Update • Aug 28
US Housing And Sun Belt Demand Will Rise Despite Pressures
Analysts have raised LGI Homes' price target to $75.67, citing the company's effective inventory and leverage management in a challenging demand environment, despite margin pressures and competitive headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts believe LGI Homes is effectively managing lower demand through reducing standing spec inventory and targeting leverage near 40% by early 2026, which should support profitability.Narrative Update • Aug 08
US Housing And Sun Belt Demand Will Rise Despite Pressures
LGI Homes’ consensus price target has been markedly reduced to $72.33, primarily due to sharply lower revenue growth forecasts and a decline in expected valuation multiples. What's in the News LGI Homes continues to expand with multiple new community openings and product launches across key US markets, including significant offerings in North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and California.Analysis Article • Jul 17
LGI Homes, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LGIH) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.6x LGI Homes, Inc. ( NASDAQ:LGIH ) may be sending very bullish signals...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How LGI Homes makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,674 | 71 | 261 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,706 | 73 | 274 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,789 | 106 | 290 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,044 | 156 | 310 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,163 | 183 | 322 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,203 | 196 | 321 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,254 | 197 | 322 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,219 | 195 | 315 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,262 | 189 | 309 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,359 | 199 | 309 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,238 | 181 | 286 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,168 | 205 | 271 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,246 | 275 | 267 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,304 | 327 | 256 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 2,617 | 404 | 267 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 2,822 | 414 | 270 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 2,890 | 409 | 266 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 3,050 | 430 | 270 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,146 | 455 | 278 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,929 | 443 | 271 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 2,619 | 381 | 253 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 2,368 | 324 | 238 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 2,076 | 252 | 219 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 2,025 | 213 | 214 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 2,005 | 203 | 216 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,838 | 179 | 209 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,658 | 156 | 199 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,555 | 145 | 192 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,513 | 146 | 187 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,504 | 155 | 180 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,484 | 148 | 176 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,470 | 144 | 171 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,374 | 129 | 162 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,258 | 113 | 151 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,090 | 101 | 137 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 940 | 87 | 123 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 839 | 75 | 113 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 838 | 75 | 110 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 778 | 68 | 103 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 736 | 64 | 99 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 672 | 57 | 92 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 630 | 53 | 87 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 562 | 45 | 81 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: LGIH has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: LGIH's current net profit margins (4.2%) are lower than last year (8.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: LGIH's earnings have declined by 29.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: LGIH's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: LGIH had negative earnings growth (-61.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Durables industry average (-15.2%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: LGIH's Return on Equity (3.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/09 02:52 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
LGI Homes, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Roxland | BofA Global Research |
| Aaron Hecht | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Jay McCanless | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |