Stock Analysis

Is Upwork (NASDAQ:UPWK) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

NasdaqGS:UPWK
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Upwork Inc. (NASDAQ:UPWK) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Upwork

What Is Upwork's Debt?

As you can see below, Upwork had US$563.5m of debt, at September 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$675.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$112.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:UPWK Debt to Equity History December 21st 2022

How Strong Is Upwork's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Upwork had liabilities of US$252.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$584.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$675.8m in cash and US$67.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$93.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Upwork has a market capitalization of US$1.36b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Upwork boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Upwork's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Upwork reported revenue of US$594m, which is a gain of 26%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

So How Risky Is Upwork?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Upwork lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$22m and booked a US$96m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of US$112.3m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Upwork's revenue growth shone bright over the last year, so it may well be in a position to turn a profit in due course. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Upwork you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Upwork is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.