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DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:DLHC) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 28% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:DLHC) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, DLH Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 30x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
DLH Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for DLH Holdings
Is There Any Growth For DLH Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as DLH Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 200% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 65% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 129% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 14%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that DLH Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On DLH Holdings' P/E
Shares in DLH Holdings have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that DLH Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for DLH Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than DLH Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:DLHC
DLH Holdings
Provides technology-enabled business process outsourcing, program management solutions, and public health research and analytics services in the United States.
Proven track record and fair value.
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