Stock Analysis

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

NasdaqGM:BAER
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When close to half the companies in the Commercial Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:BAER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 45% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.5% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (2 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGM:BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire management, relief and suppression, and firefighting services to federal and state government agencies in the United States.

Slightly overvalued with questionable track record.