Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (BAER) Stock Overview
Provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
BAER Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$0.95 |
| 52 Week High | US$3.44 |
| 52 Week Low | US$0.91 |
| Beta | 0.30 |
| 1 Month Change | -22.50% |
| 3 Month Change | -46.88% |
| 1 Year Change | -48.05% |
| 3 Year Change | -87.75% |
| 5 Year Change | -90.25% |
| Change since IPO | -90.24% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
BAER: Contract Wins And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings to $4.00 from $5.00, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings reiterated earnings guidance for full year 2026, with revenue expected between US$135 million and US$145 million.
BAER: Extended US Forest Service Contracts Will Support Stronger 2026 Outlook
Analysts have revised their price target for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings from $5.25 to $4.12 as they reset expectations around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What’s in the News for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings received two separate 160 day task orders from the US Forest Service for its CL-415EAF Super Scooper aircraft, covering four planes in total.Bridger Aerospace Group Cannot Grow Its Problem Off
Summary Bridger Aerospace Group faces persistent financial risk despite industry tailwinds from increasing wildfire activity. Recent quarters revealed revenue declines and concerning fixed cost increases, highlighting high operating leverage and limited flexibility. BAER's 2026 guidance implies operational profitability, but returns remain insufficient to cover heavy debt and preferred stock obligations. I maintain a Hold rating, citing a fundamentally challenged capital structure and ongoing liquidity risks for the common equity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Wildfire Preparedness Contracts Will Strain Operations Yet Ultimately Support A Gradual Earnings Recovery
Catalysts About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings provides aerial firefighting, airborne intelligence and related services to government and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Aerial Firefighting Demand And Defense Contracts Will Drive Stronger Long Term Earnings Visibility
Catalysts About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings provides aerial firefighting, surveillance and related services with a fleet that includes Super Scoopers, multi mission aircraft and Air Attack platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Subdued Growth No Barrier To Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) With Shares Advancing 37%
Despite an already strong run, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shares have been powering on...We Think Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Shares Not Telling The Full Story
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER...Does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Market Participants Recognise Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Higher
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price...Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%
The Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month...Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump
The Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting...Bridger Aerospace: Stock Spike From California Wildfires Likely Temporary
Summary Bridger Aerospace's stock has declined significantly due to shareholder dilution and narrowed EBITDA guidance, despite a strong business case driven by increasing wildfires. Government budgeting delays and contracting lags have further complicated Bridger Aerospace's financial performance and stock sentiment. Los Angeles wildfires have temporarily boosted stock prices, but long-term support hinges on increased firefighting budgets and monitoring services. Despite a recent stock surge, Bridger Aerospace is fairly valued; caution is advised due to financial variability linked to wildfire season intensity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaDoes Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Market Participants Recognise Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Revenues Pushing Shares 48% Higher
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 48% after a...Highs And Lows: Examining Bridger Aerospace Group As An Investment Opportunity
Summary Bridger Aerospace Group is a leading aerial firefighting company with cutting-edge aircraft technology. The company faces challenges such as profitability, high debt, customer dependence, and reliance on a limited number of irreplaceable aircraft. The demand for aerial firefighting services is growing due to climate change and an increase in vulnerable zones, providing opportunities for Bridger's growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaThere May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' (NASDAQ:BAER) Earnings
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:BAER ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings...Bridger Aerospace Stock Plummeted: What Is Next?
Summary Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. stock has dropped 22.7% while the market gained 15% since October 2023. The stock tanked due to a negative announcement of a public offering and market volatility. Despite the stock's decline, Bridger Aerospace reported strong earnings in Q3 2023, with increased revenues and adjusted EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaBridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
When close to half the companies in the Commercial Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios...Shareholder Returns
| BAER | US Commercial Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -9.1% | -1.8% | -0.2% |
| 1Y | -48.0% | -8.1% | 12.1% |
Return vs Industry: BAER underperformed the US Commercial Services industry which returned -8.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: BAER underperformed the US Market which returned 11.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| BAER volatility | |
|---|---|
| BAER Average Weekly Movement | 11.0% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 6.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.8% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Stable Share Price: BAER's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: BAER's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 235 | Sam Davis | www.bridgeraerospace.com |
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water as part of the initial and direct attack to slow, contain, and extinguish wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public.
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| BAER fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$55.62m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$40.45m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$115.44m |
Is BAER overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| BAER income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$115.44m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$71.46m |
| Gross Profit | US$43.98m |
| Other Expenses | US$84.43m |
| Earnings | -US$40.45m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.69 |
| Gross Margin | 38.10% |
| Net Profit Margin | -35.04% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 687.7% |
How did BAER perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/20 12:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |
| Mark Smith | Lake Street Capital Markets, LLC |
| Jonathan Siegmann | Stifel, Equities Research |