Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 95.5% and 17.1% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 83.3% per annum.
Key information
95.5%
Earnings growth rate
83.28%
EPS growth rate
| Commercial Services earnings growth | 13.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.1% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 20 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
New Narrative • Apr 15
Wildfire Preparedness Contracts Will Strain Operations Yet Ultimately Support A Gradual Earnings Recovery
Catalysts About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings provides aerial firefighting, airborne intelligence and related services to government and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative • Apr 01
Aerial Firefighting Demand And Defense Contracts Will Drive Stronger Long Term Earnings Visibility
Catalysts About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings provides aerial firefighting, surveillance and related services with a fleet that includes Super Scoopers, multi mission aircraft and Air Attack platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Seeking Alpha • Feb 03
Bridger Aerospace: Why This Wildfire Play Is More Momentum Than Long-Term Compounder
Summary Bridger Aerospace is rated a speculative buy, with 62% upside potential but high volatility tied to wildfire season intensity. BAER’s revenues are more than 75% dependent on fire suppression, making earnings highly sensitive to unpredictable external factors like weather patterns. Recent results show operating income up 19% and margin expansion, driven by cost management and strong aerial surveillance growth. Long-term dilution risk exists from preferred convertible stock. Momentum in BAER shares likely tracks wildfire media coverage. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 10
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) With Shares Advancing 37%
Despite an already strong run, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shares have been powering on...Analysis Article • Nov 14
We Think Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Oct 03
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Shares Not Telling The Full Story
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER...Analysis Article • May 31
Does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Market Participants Recognise Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Higher
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price...Analysis Article • Mar 07
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%
The Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month...Analysis Article • Jan 16
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:BAER) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump
The Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting...Seeking Alpha • Jan 10
Bridger Aerospace: Stock Spike From California Wildfires Likely Temporary
Summary Bridger Aerospace's stock has declined significantly due to shareholder dilution and narrowed EBITDA guidance, despite a strong business case driven by increasing wildfires. Government budgeting delays and contracting lags have further complicated Bridger Aerospace's financial performance and stock sentiment. Los Angeles wildfires have temporarily boosted stock prices, but long-term support hinges on increased firefighting budgets and monitoring services. Despite a recent stock surge, Bridger Aerospace is fairly valued; caution is advised due to financial variability linked to wildfire season intensity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 07
Does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (NASDAQ:BAER) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Nov 14
Market Participants Recognise Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Revenues Pushing Shares 48% Higher
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BAER ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 48% after a...Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
Highs And Lows: Examining Bridger Aerospace Group As An Investment Opportunity
Summary Bridger Aerospace Group is a leading aerial firefighting company with cutting-edge aircraft technology. The company faces challenges such as profitability, high debt, customer dependence, and reliance on a limited number of irreplaceable aircraft. The demand for aerial firefighting services is growing due to climate change and an increase in vulnerable zones, providing opportunities for Bridger's growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 28
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings' (NASDAQ:BAER) Earnings
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:BAER ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings...Seeking Alpha • Feb 08
Bridger Aerospace Stock Plummeted: What Is Next?
Summary Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. stock has dropped 22.7% while the market gained 15% since October 2023. The stock tanked due to a negative announcement of a public offering and market volatility. Despite the stock's decline, Bridger Aerospace reported strong earnings in Q3 2023, with increased revenues and adjusted EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 01
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BAER) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
When close to half the companies in the Commercial Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 156 | -4 | 44 | 48 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 138 | -20 | 5 | 38 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 116 | -39 | -71 | 13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 123 | -23 | -66 | 17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 130 | -20 | 24 | 37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 126 | -27 | 11 | 19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 109 | -37 | 7 | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 99 | -41 | 4 | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 84 | -59 | 5 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 73 | -68 | -8 | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 72 | -77 | -23 | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 67 | 9 | -48 | -27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 67 | 23 | -65 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 46 | 0 | -94 | -53 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 47 | -252 | -84 | -39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 46 | -330 | -45 | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 46 | -322 | -52 | -4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 48 | -298 | -42 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 39 | -30 | -51 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 39 | -22 | -48 | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 13 | -26 | -61 | -8 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BAER is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: BAER is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: BAER is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: BAER's revenue (17.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BAER's revenue (17.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if BAER's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 12:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 3 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |
| Mark Smith | Lake Street Capital Markets, LLC |
| Jonathan Siegmann | Stifel, Equities Research |