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Trinity Industries, Inc.NYSE:TRN Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.9b
Share Price
US$36.14
US$33.5
7.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y34.9%
7D0.8%
Portfolio Value
View

Trinity Industries, Inc.

NYSE:TRN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

TRN Community Fair Values

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Trinity Industries, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Trinity Industries
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$36.14
52 Week HighUS$37.36
52 Week LowUS$22.38
Beta1.38
1 Month Change4.45%
3 Month Change14.08%
1 Year Change34.90%
3 Year Change75.35%
5 Year Change32.24%
Change since IPO7,845.28%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha May 03

Trinity Industries: Estimates Remain Too Low

Summary Trinity delivered a strong Q1, raising full-year EPS guidance by 16% and signaling further upside as street estimates remain conservative. TRN benefits from robust industrial production, a $1.6B backlog, and a diversified railcar portfolio, positioning both leasing and product segments for growth. The leasing segment maintains high 35%+ margins and stability, while the rail products segment is rebounding from last year’s downturn as secondary market activity improves. With a clean balance sheet, best-in-class 3.4% dividend yield, and potential for multiple expansion, I see 28% upside to a $46 price target. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 27

TRN: Future Returns Will Depend On EPS Delivery And Completed Buybacks

Analysts have kept their $33.50 price target for Trinity Industries unchanged, citing only slight adjustments in revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while maintaining the same forward P/E outlook. What's in the News Completion of a share repurchase program announced on December 8, 2022, with a total of 3,268,235 shares bought back for US$92.6 million, representing 4.02% of the company.
Narrative Update Apr 13

TRN: Future Returns Will Rely On EPS Delivery And Ongoing Share Repurchases

Analysts have maintained their $33.50 price target for Trinity Industries, citing steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for keeping their outlook unchanged. What's in the News Trinity Industries reported that from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, it repurchased 455,768 shares for US$12.13 million, representing 0.57% of shares under its existing buyback plan (Key Developments).

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 03

Trinity Industries: Estimates Remain Too Low

Summary Trinity delivered a strong Q1, raising full-year EPS guidance by 16% and signaling further upside as street estimates remain conservative. TRN benefits from robust industrial production, a $1.6B backlog, and a diversified railcar portfolio, positioning both leasing and product segments for growth. The leasing segment maintains high 35%+ margins and stability, while the rail products segment is rebounding from last year’s downturn as secondary market activity improves. With a clean balance sheet, best-in-class 3.4% dividend yield, and potential for multiple expansion, I see 28% upside to a $46 price target. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 27

TRN: Future Returns Will Depend On EPS Delivery And Completed Buybacks

Analysts have kept their $33.50 price target for Trinity Industries unchanged, citing only slight adjustments in revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while maintaining the same forward P/E outlook. What's in the News Completion of a share repurchase program announced on December 8, 2022, with a total of 3,268,235 shares bought back for US$92.6 million, representing 4.02% of the company.
Narrative Update Apr 13

TRN: Future Returns Will Rely On EPS Delivery And Ongoing Share Repurchases

Analysts have maintained their $33.50 price target for Trinity Industries, citing steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for keeping their outlook unchanged. What's in the News Trinity Industries reported that from October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025, it repurchased 455,768 shares for US$12.13 million, representing 0.57% of shares under its existing buyback plan (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 30

TRN: Future Returns Will Depend On Executing EPS Guidance And Buyback Execution

Analysts maintained their price target for Trinity Industries at $33.50, citing unchanged assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the basis for their view. What's in the News Trinity Industries updated investors on its share repurchase activity, buying back 455,768 shares between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 for $12.13 million.
Narrative Update Mar 16

TRN: Future Upside Will Rely On Executing EPS Guidance And Buyback Plan

Analysts have kept their price target for Trinity Industries steady at $33.50, reflecting largely unchanged views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trinity Industries reported that between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 it repurchased 455,768 shares, or 0.57% of shares, for US$12.13 million under its existing buyback program (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 01

TRN: Future Returns Will Depend On EPS Guidance Delivery And Dividend Continuity

Analysts have maintained their price target for Trinity Industries at $33.50, reflecting largely unchanged assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Trinity Industries issued new earnings guidance for 2026, expecting EPS in a range of $1.85 to $2.10.
Narrative Update Feb 15

TRN: Future Returns Will Rely On EPS Delivery And Dividend Stability

Analysts have raised their price target on Trinity Industries from $26.00 to $33.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Trinity Industries issued new earnings guidance for 2026, with expected EPS in a range of $1.85 to $2.10 (company guidance).
Narrative Update Jan 20

TRN: Future Returns Will Depend On Dividends Buybacks And Margin Stability

Analysts have nudged their price target on Trinity Industries up by $0.50 to $26.00, reflecting updated views that combine more moderate revenue growth expectations with slightly higher profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trinity Industries raised its full year 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $3.05 to $3.20, citing an anticipated 2025 EPS impact of $1.50 (Corporate Guidance).
Analysis Article Jan 06

Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.31

Trinity Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:TRN ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...
Narrative Update Jan 05

TRN: Steady Outlook Will Rely On Dividends And Buybacks To Support Price

Analysts have kept their price target for Trinity Industries steady at US$25.50, indicating that their updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E are essentially unchanged for now. What's in the News Trinity Industries raised its quarterly dividend on common stock to US$0.31 per share from US$0.30, marking seven consecutive years of dividend increases and the 247th consecutive quarterly payment.
Narrative Update Dec 15

TRN: Future Share Repurchases Will Likely Fail To Justify Elevated Price

Analysts raised their price target on Trinity Industries slightly to $25.50, reflecting modestly lower perceived risk and stable long term growth and profitability assumptions. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 earnings guidance to a tighter range of $1.55 to $1.70 per share, signaling improving profit expectations and operational visibility (company guidance) Increased the quarterly dividend to $0.31 per share from $0.30, marking seven consecutive years of dividend growth and the 247th straight quarterly payout (company announcement) Completed repurchase of 2,812,467 shares, or about 3.45% of shares outstanding, for $80.47 million under the December 2022 buyback authorization, including 753,924 shares repurchased in the latest quarter (company filing) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at $25.50 per share, indicating stable long term valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update Dec 01

TRN: Future Earnings Guidance And Share Repurchases Will Sustain Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have revised their price target for Trinity Industries downward from $27.00 to $25.50. They cited a more tempered outlook for future revenue growth and valuation multiples.
Analysis Article Nov 29

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:TRN) Performance Completely

It's not a stretch to say that Trinity Industries, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.6x...
Narrative Update Nov 17

TRN: Full-Year EPS Guidance Will Support Stable Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have maintained their price target for Trinity Industries at $27.00. They cite consistent expectations for the company’s fair value and stable underlying financial projections.
Analysis Article Nov 07

Trinity Industries' (NYSE:TRN) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Investors were disappointed by Trinity Industries, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TRN ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis...
Narrative Update Nov 02

TRN: Revenue Expansion And Lower Margins Will Offset Market Improvements Ahead

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Trinity Industries downward from $28.50 to $27.00. This change reflects updated expectations for increased revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a higher projected price-to-earnings ratio.
Narrative Update Aug 20

Rail Leasing Will Benefit From Renewed Market Stability

Upward revisions in both Trinity Industries' revenue growth forecasts and net profit margin have driven an increase in the consensus analyst price target from $26.00 to $28.50. What's in the News Trinity Industries provided 2025 EPS guidance of $1.40 to $1.60.
Analysis Article Jul 30

Improved Earnings Required Before Trinity Industries, Inc. (NYSE:TRN) Shares Find Their Feet

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...
Analysis Article May 23

Here's Why Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Apr 17

What Does Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:TRN) Share Price Indicate?

Trinity Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:TRN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article Apr 02

Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:TRN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 25% Below Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Trinity Industries fair value estimate is US$21.09 Current share price...
Analysis Article Mar 06

Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:TRN) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

It's not a stretch to say that Trinity Industries, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x right...
Analysis Article Jan 07

Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Dec 24

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Trinity Industries, Inc. (NYSE:TRN)?

Trinity Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:TRN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...
Analysis Article Dec 11

Do Trinity Industries' (NYSE:TRN) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Seeking Alpha Nov 19

Solid Growth And Good Prospects Make Trinity Industries Attractive

Summary Trinity Industries has a Strong Buy rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant system and a Buy rating from me, with a modest price gain expected. Trinity's revenue, EBITDA, and net income have risen steadily over the past four quarters, with no indication of troubles ahead for the company or the railcar industry. Trinity's Q3 earnings beat estimates, and the company has a strong dividend yield of 3.01%, with a five-year dividend growth rate averaging 11.84%. Despite aggressive competition, Trinity's long-term customer relationships and institutional ownership provide stability, with a projected share price increase of nearly 7.0% in the next year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Sep 13

Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:TRN) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Trinity Industries, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a buy right...
User avatar
New Narrative Sep 09

Enhancing Railcar Leasing And Efficiency Drives Profitability And Investor Confidence

Enhanced leasing rates and future lease differentials forecast increased revenue and profitability in the leasing segment.
Seeking Alpha Sep 08

Taking Some Profits In Trinity Industries

Summary About 10 months ago, I recommended Trinity Industries Inc., and the shares have since returned about 55%, outperforming the S&P 500's 30.25% gain. Despite strong financial results, including significant revenue and net income growth, the company's increased debt and interest expenses raise concerns for future dividend growth. The dividend yield is now 3.6%, lower than the 10 Year Treasury Note's 3.7%, making the investment less compelling compared to last year. I’m selling my original capital to invest in Treasuries but letting my gains ride, as the investment is still reasonably valued but not a "slam dunk.". Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 30

Here's Why Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Aug 13

Here's Why Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...

Shareholder Returns

TRNUS MachineryUS Market
7D0.8%2.6%2.6%
1Y34.9%44.4%26.2%

Return vs Industry: TRN underperformed the US Machinery industry which returned 44.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TRN exceeded the US Market which returned 26.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TRN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TRN volatility
TRN Average Weekly Movement5.8%
Machinery Industry Average Movement6.5%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: TRN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: TRN's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19336,110E. Savagewww.trin.net

Trinity Industries, Inc. provides railcar products and services under the TrinityRail trade name in North America. The company operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet leasing, management, and administrative services, as well as railcar maintenance and modification services, and other railcar logistics products and services.

Trinity Industries, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Trinity Industries's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TRN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.90b
Earnings (TTM)US$262.30m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.06b
11.0x
P/E Ratio
1.4x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TRN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.06b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.50b
Gross ProfitUS$559.40m
Other ExpensesUS$297.10m
EarningsUS$262.30m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)3.30
Gross Margin27.11%
Net Profit Margin12.71%
Debt/Equity Ratio470.6%

How did TRN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.4%
Current Dividend Yield
37%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/12 21:41
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/12 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trinity Industries, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mehvish RahmanCitigroup Inc
Kristine KubackiCLSA
Andrzej TomczykGoldman Sachs