Redwire Corporation

NYSE:RDW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

Redwire Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

Redwire does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

-26.1%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield-26.1%
Future Dividend Yield0%
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

No updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 03

RDW: Widening Losses And Execution Risks Will Constrain Future Share Performance

Analysts have lifted their average price target on Redwire by $4.50, citing stronger revenue assumptions, slightly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as they factor in recent upgrades and raised targets across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Redwire has a generally constructive tone on revenue and backlog, but several points of caution still stand out if you are weighing risk versus potential reward.
Narrative Update Apr 19

RDW: Widening Losses And Margin Constraints Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have lifted their average price targets for Redwire by a few dollars, reflecting higher fair value estimates, slightly lower discount rates, and expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins, supported by recent upgrades and program progress across multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a mix of optimism around program execution and backlog growth alongside ongoing concern about profitability, cost control, and the quality of earnings.
Seeking Alpha Apr 12

Redwire: A Speculative Buy Upgrade In A Red-Hot Space Market

Summary Redwire (RDW) is upgraded to a speculative buy, reflecting improved capitalization but persistent execution and cost control concerns. RDW operates in attractive space and defense markets, with a $400M backlog but relies on short-cycle orders for revenue targets. Despite 10% sales growth in 2025, RDW's widening operating losses and declining margins highlight ongoing profitability challenges. Future upside hinges on EBITDA turning positive, refinancing $83.25M debt, and management's ability to deliver cost discipline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 05

RDW: Defense Backlog And 2026 Program Execution Will Drive Recovery

Narrative Update on Redwire Analysts have raised the blended price target for Redwire to $15, up from a prior consensus closer to the $12 to $13 range. This change reflects increased confidence in program mix, backlog potential, and revenue contributions from recent acquisitions, even as margin and EBITDA trends remain mixed.
Narrative Update Mar 22

RDW: Persistent Margin And Cash Burn Risks Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Redwire, with changes such as Truist moving from $13 to $15 and Jefferies trimming from $13 to $12. These revisions reflect mixed views that balance stronger revenue trends, program progress and backlog opportunities against ongoing adjusted EBITDA losses and margin constraints.
Narrative Update Mar 07

RDW: Defense And Space Backlog Momentum Will Drive 2026 Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Redwire from about $13.11 to $13.28, reflecting updated price targets around $12. These targets balance strong recent revenue beats and improving order trends with ongoing EBITDA losses and cautious margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 21

RDW: Rising Defense Demand And 2026 Sector Tailwinds Will Drive Upside

Our analyst price target for Redwire has been revised to $13.11 from $13.22. Analysts point to updated assumptions for growth, profitability, discount rate, and future P/E to better reflect recent sector views and company specific research.
Narrative Update Feb 07

RDW: Defense Contracts And 2026 Space Programs Will Drive Recovery

Narrative Update on Redwire Analysts nudged their price expectations for Redwire higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $21.19 to $22.00 as they weigh mixed sector views, including recent target increases and a more cautious stance from some firms. These inputs are reflected in a slightly adjusted growth outlook and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Jan 24

RDW: Future Consolidation Risk And Program Delays Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have revised their views on Redwire, with the average 12 month price target moving from about US$10 to around US$6 as they adjust revenue growth, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions, while weighing mixed sector and company specific research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Redwire shows a wide range of price targets and ratings, reflecting differing views on execution risk, sector positioning, and how much of the near term uncertainty is already reflected in the share price.
Narrative Update Jan 09

RDW: Bookings And 2026 Government Space Programs Will Drive Recovery

Analysts nudged their price expectations for Redwire higher, with the blended target moving toward the recent US$13 Truist level from prior cuts that clustered around US$6 to US$15. This shift reflects mixed views on near term revenue softness, sector wide aerospace and defense demand, and the potential impact of space industry consolidation and government program timing.
Narrative Update Dec 23

RDW Will Benefit From 2026 Government Space Program Recovery

We lower our Redwire price target from $27.97 to $21.19 as analysts trim long term revenue growth expectations amid softer near term government and space infrastructure demand, while still acknowledging improving margin potential and the likelihood of consolidation driven winners in the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Redwire, with several bullish analysts highlighting resilient fundamentals and long term growth optionality despite near term estimate cuts.
Analysis Article Dec 16

Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 27% Share Price Bounce

Those holding Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the...
Narrative Update Dec 09

RDW: Rebounding Government Space Orders Will Drive Upside Potential By Early 2026

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Redwire, with cuts ranging from about $3 to $7 per share. They are recalibrating expectations for slower near term growth and industry consolidation dynamics, while still seeing long term opportunity in the company’s space platforms and government program exposure.
Narrative Update Nov 25

RDW: Rebounding Government Orders Will Drive Upside Potential By Early 2026

Redwire's analyst price target experienced a significant decrease, moving from approximately $17.17 to $13.22. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, lower revenue growth expectations, and challenges related to demand and government operations.
Analysis Article Nov 14

These Analysts Think Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Sales Are Under Threat

Market forces rained on the parade of Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...
Analysis Article Nov 10

US$15.06: That's What Analysts Think Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ), which a week ago released some disappointing...
Narrative Update Nov 07

RDW: Resumed Government Contract Flows Will Drive Rebound By Early 2026

Redwire’s analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $18.06 to $17.17 per share. Analysts cite weaker Q3 results, a below-consensus revenue outlook, and ongoing sector challenges, despite continued support for the company’s long-term growth prospects.
Analysis Article Oct 07

After Leaping 35% Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the...
Narrative Update Aug 25

NATO And NASA Funding Will Enable In-Space Manufacturing

Analysts lowered Redwire’s price target from $19.06 to $18.06 following a challenging Q2, management’s reduced guidance—including EBITDA forecast withdrawal—and revised estimates, though some now view shares as undervalued. Analyst Commentary Analysts noted a challenging Q2 quarter and subsequent management guidance lowering, including a withdrawal of prior Adjusted EBITDA forecasts.
Narrative Update Aug 10

NATO And NASA Funding Will Enable In-Space Manufacturing

The consensus analyst price target for Redwire has been reduced, primarily reflecting a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E ratio, resulting in a revised fair value of $19.06. What's in the News Redwire issued FY25 revenue guidance of $385–$445 million (including Edge Autonomy post-close) and $470–$530 million as if fully combined for the whole year.
Analysis Article Aug 08

Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 37% Slump

NYSE:RDW 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Redwire's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Redwire...
Analysis Article Jun 11

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 61% Price Jump

Despite an already strong run, Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 61% in the...
Analysis Article May 14

Earnings Update: Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Just Reported And Analysts Are Boosting Their Estimates

Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...
Analysis Article Apr 27

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the...
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New Narrative Apr 22

New Spacecraft Platforms And Edge Autonomy Will Drive Future Expansion

Advancements in microgravity manufacturing and strategic acquisitions may open high-margin revenue streams and enhance earnings through innovation and operational leverage.
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Redwire: Between Space Hype And Earthly Challenges

Summary Redwire's valuation metrics, including EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, and EV/EBIT, are significantly higher than industry medians, indicating market optimism despite financial challenges. Redwire's profitability metrics, such as gross margin, EBITDA margin, EBIT margin, and net income margin, are substantially lower than industry averages, highlighting serious profitability issues. Despite weak current financials, Redwire's future growth projections are strong, with revenue, EBITDA margin, and FCF expected to grow significantly YoY, far outpacing industry averages. The high valuation of Redwire appears to be driven by future growth expectations rather than current financial performance, suggesting potential overvaluation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 26

Redwire: Why It Might Be 2021 All Over Again

Summary Redwire's valuation and growth prospects look attractive, but a closer look at the business model suggests some caution. The pending merger with UAV manufacturer Edge Autonomy too may hide some risks: Edge's growth has been driven by Ukraine, while its P-E owners accepted a modest multiple. Redwire's 2024 performance showed revenue growth but declining profit, raising further concern about long-term structural profitability. Secular trends clearly are in Redwire's favor, but both execution and perhaps a better valuation are required from here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Feb 18

Revenues Tell The Story For Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) As Its Stock Soars 60%

Redwire Corporation ( NYSE:RDW ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 60% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article Feb 01

Would Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if RDW's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if RDW's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Redwire Dividend Yield vs Market
How does RDW dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (RDW)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Aerospace & Defense)1.1%
Analyst forecast (RDW) (up to 3 years)0%

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate RDW's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate RDW's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate RDW's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as RDW has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 11:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Redwire Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian KinstlingerAlliance Global Partners
Ronald EpsteinBofA Global Research
Michael CrawfordB. Riley Securities, Inc.