Redwire Corporation

NYSE:RDW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Redwire Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 4/6

Redwire has a total shareholder equity of $1.1B and total debt of $87.4M, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 7.7%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $1.4B and $312.1M respectively.

Key information

7.68%

Debt to equity ratio

US$87.37m

Debt

Interest coverage ration/a
CashUS$94.47m
EquityUS$1.14b
Total liabilitiesUS$312.09m
Total assetsUS$1.45b

Recent financial health updates

Recent updates

RDW: Widening Losses And Margin Constraints Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have lifted their average price targets for Redwire by a few dollars, reflecting higher fair value estimates, slightly lower discount rates, and expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins, supported by recent upgrades and program progress across multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a mix of optimism around program execution and backlog growth alongside ongoing concern about profitability, cost control, and the quality of earnings.

Redwire: A Speculative Buy Upgrade In A Red-Hot Space Market

Apr 12

RDW: Defense Backlog And 2026 Program Execution Will Drive Recovery

Narrative Update on Redwire Analysts have raised the blended price target for Redwire to $15, up from a prior consensus closer to the $12 to $13 range. This change reflects increased confidence in program mix, backlog potential, and revenue contributions from recent acquisitions, even as margin and EBITDA trends remain mixed.

RDW: Persistent Margin And Cash Burn Risks Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets on Redwire, with changes such as Truist moving from $13 to $15 and Jefferies trimming from $13 to $12. These revisions reflect mixed views that balance stronger revenue trends, program progress and backlog opportunities against ongoing adjusted EBITDA losses and margin constraints.

RDW: Defense And Space Backlog Momentum Will Drive 2026 Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Redwire from about $13.11 to $13.28, reflecting updated price targets around $12. These targets balance strong recent revenue beats and improving order trends with ongoing EBITDA losses and cautious margin assumptions.

RDW: Rising Defense Demand And 2026 Sector Tailwinds Will Drive Upside

Our analyst price target for Redwire has been revised to $13.11 from $13.22. Analysts point to updated assumptions for growth, profitability, discount rate, and future P/E to better reflect recent sector views and company specific research.

RDW: Defense Contracts And 2026 Space Programs Will Drive Recovery

Narrative Update on Redwire Analysts nudged their price expectations for Redwire higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $21.19 to $22.00 as they weigh mixed sector views, including recent target increases and a more cautious stance from some firms. These inputs are reflected in a slightly adjusted growth outlook and a higher assumed future P/E multiple.

RDW: Future Consolidation Risk And Program Delays Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have revised their views on Redwire, with the average 12 month price target moving from about US$10 to around US$6 as they adjust revenue growth, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions, while weighing mixed sector and company specific research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Redwire shows a wide range of price targets and ratings, reflecting differing views on execution risk, sector positioning, and how much of the near term uncertainty is already reflected in the share price.

RDW: Bookings And 2026 Government Space Programs Will Drive Recovery

Analysts nudged their price expectations for Redwire higher, with the blended target moving toward the recent US$13 Truist level from prior cuts that clustered around US$6 to US$15. This shift reflects mixed views on near term revenue softness, sector wide aerospace and defense demand, and the potential impact of space industry consolidation and government program timing.

RDW Will Benefit From 2026 Government Space Program Recovery

We lower our Redwire price target from $27.97 to $21.19 as analysts trim long term revenue growth expectations amid softer near term government and space infrastructure demand, while still acknowledging improving margin potential and the likelihood of consolidation driven winners in the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Redwire, with several bullish analysts highlighting resilient fundamentals and long term growth optionality despite near term estimate cuts.

Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 27% Share Price Bounce

Dec 16
Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 27% Share Price Bounce

RDW: Rebounding Government Space Orders Will Drive Upside Potential By Early 2026

Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Redwire, with cuts ranging from about $3 to $7 per share. They are recalibrating expectations for slower near term growth and industry consolidation dynamics, while still seeing long term opportunity in the company’s space platforms and government program exposure.

RDW: Rebounding Government Orders Will Drive Upside Potential By Early 2026

Redwire's analyst price target experienced a significant decrease, moving from approximately $17.17 to $13.22. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, lower revenue growth expectations, and challenges related to demand and government operations.

These Analysts Think Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Sales Are Under Threat

Nov 14
These Analysts Think Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Sales Are Under Threat

US$15.06: That's What Analysts Think Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

Nov 10
US$15.06: That's What Analysts Think Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

RDW: Resumed Government Contract Flows Will Drive Rebound By Early 2026

Redwire’s analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $18.06 to $17.17 per share. Analysts cite weaker Q3 results, a below-consensus revenue outlook, and ongoing sector challenges, despite continued support for the company’s long-term growth prospects.

After Leaping 35% Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Oct 07
After Leaping 35% Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

NATO And NASA Funding Will Enable In-Space Manufacturing

Analysts lowered Redwire’s price target from $19.06 to $18.06 following a challenging Q2, management’s reduced guidance—including EBITDA forecast withdrawal—and revised estimates, though some now view shares as undervalued. Analyst Commentary Analysts noted a challenging Q2 quarter and subsequent management guidance lowering, including a withdrawal of prior Adjusted EBITDA forecasts.

NATO And NASA Funding Will Enable In-Space Manufacturing

The consensus analyst price target for Redwire has been reduced, primarily reflecting a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E ratio, resulting in a revised fair value of $19.06. What's in the News Redwire issued FY25 revenue guidance of $385–$445 million (including Edge Autonomy post-close) and $470–$530 million as if fully combined for the whole year.

Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 37% Slump

Aug 08
Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 37% Slump

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 61% Price Jump

Jun 11
Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 61% Price Jump

Earnings Update: Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Just Reported And Analysts Are Boosting Their Estimates

May 14
Earnings Update: Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Just Reported And Analysts Are Boosting Their Estimates

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Apr 27
Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump
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New Spacecraft Platforms And Edge Autonomy Will Drive Future Expansion

Advancements in microgravity manufacturing and strategic acquisitions may open high-margin revenue streams and enhance earnings through innovation and operational leverage.

Redwire: Between Space Hype And Earthly Challenges

Apr 21

Redwire: Why It Might Be 2021 All Over Again

Mar 26

Revenues Tell The Story For Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) As Its Stock Soars 60%

Feb 18
Revenues Tell The Story For Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) As Its Stock Soars 60%

Would Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Feb 01
Would Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Stocks Shoot Up 37% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Jan 04
Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Stocks Shoot Up 37% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Expect Another Excellent Year From Redwire, But Not Like Last Year

Dec 07

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump

Nov 20
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: RDW's short term assets ($252.8M) exceed its short term liabilities ($155.6M).

Long Term Liabilities: RDW's short term assets ($252.8M) exceed its long term liabilities ($156.5M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: RDW has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: RDW's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 202.9% to 7.7% over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss-making in the past, we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: RDW has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: Insufficient data to determine if RDW has enough cash runway if its free cash flow continues to grow or shrink based on historical rates.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 10:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Redwire Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian KinstlingerAlliance Global Partners
Ronald EpsteinBofA Global Research
Michael CrawfordB. Riley Securities, Inc.