Stock Analysis

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Stocks Shoot Up 37% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

NYSE:RDW
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Despite an already strong run, Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 513% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Aerospace & Defense industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Redwire as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Redwire

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:RDW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2025

What Does Redwire's Recent Performance Look Like?

Redwire's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Redwire's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Redwire?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Redwire's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 142% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Redwire is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Redwire's P/S

Redwire shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Redwire shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Redwire that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.