Stock Analysis

MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Might Become A Compounding Machine

NYSE:MSM
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Ergo, when we looked at the ROCE trends at MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM), we liked what we saw.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for MSC Industrial Direct:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.25 = US$497m ÷ (US$2.7b - US$727m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, MSC Industrial Direct has an ROCE of 25%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Trade Distributors industry average of 16%.

View our latest analysis for MSC Industrial Direct

roce
NYSE:MSM Return on Capital Employed January 23rd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for MSC Industrial Direct compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for MSC Industrial Direct.

The Trend Of ROCE

MSC Industrial Direct deserves to be commended in regards to it's returns. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 25% and the business has deployed 28% more capital into its operations. With returns that high, it's great that the business can continually reinvest its money at such appealing rates of return. If these trends can continue, it wouldn't surprise us if the company became a multi-bagger.

The Key Takeaway

MSC Industrial Direct has demonstrated its proficiency by generating high returns on increasing amounts of capital employed, which we're thrilled about. However, over the last five years, the stock has only delivered a 9.9% return to shareholders who held over that period. That's why it could be worth your time looking into this stock further to discover if it has more traits of a multi-bagger.

On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for MSC Industrial Direct that we think you should be aware of.

MSC Industrial Direct is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.