MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

NYSE:MSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

MSC Industrial Direct Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

MSC Industrial Direct is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.1% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.7% in 3 years.

Key information

12.1%

Earnings growth rate

13.09%

EPS growth rate

Trade Distributors earnings growth12.9%
Revenue growth rate4.2%
Future return on equity24.67%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Here's Why MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jul 14
Here's Why MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

MSC Industrial: Revenue Growth Recovery, Margin Expansion Prospects, And Reasonable Valuation

Jun 25

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM)?

May 29
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM)?

Capital Allocation Trends At MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Aren't Ideal

May 12
Capital Allocation Trends At MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Aren't Ideal

Are Investors Undervaluing MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) By 36%?

Apr 28
Are Investors Undervaluing MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) By 36%?

Does MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 20
Does MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MSM) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Feb 07
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MSM) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

MSC Industrial Hit Hard By Operating Deleverage During This Downturn

Jan 03

Returns On Capital At MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Have Hit The Brakes

Dec 25
Returns On Capital At MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Have Hit The Brakes

What Is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MSM) Share Price Doing?

Dec 02
What Is MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MSM) Share Price Doing?

MSC Industrial Direct's (NYSE:MSM) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.85

Oct 28
MSC Industrial Direct's (NYSE:MSM) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.85
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High-Touch Solutions And E-Commerce Transformations Set The Stage For Future Growth

High-touch solutions and digital enhancements are growth drivers, potentially boosting revenue and net margins through improved customer experience and national account sales.

MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.85

Oct 14
MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.85

MSC Industrial: Adjusting To A New Market Reality

Oct 06

Are Investors Undervaluing MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) By 45%?

Sep 30
Are Investors Undervaluing MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) By 45%?

Is MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 17
Is MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Using Too Much Debt?

Sentiment Still Eluding MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM)

Sep 01
Sentiment Still Eluding MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM)

At US$88.95, Is It Time To Put MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) On Your Watch List?

Aug 01
At US$88.95, Is It Time To Put MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) On Your Watch List?

Weakening Manufacturing Activity Is Hitting MSC Industrial Hard

Jul 16

MSC Industrial Direct: A Mediocre MRO Play

Jun 14

MSC Industrial: Muted Revenue With No Significant Growth Potential

Jan 12

MSC Industrial Outperforming An Increasingly Challenging Market

Oct 27

MSC Industrial: MRO Play Getting Back On Its Feet

Sep 13

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MSM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
8/31/20274,10125824834110
8/31/20263,91022522031011
8/31/20253,74819723034611
5/31/20253,744198264361N/A
3/1/20253,752213302407N/A
11/30/20243,795236330431N/A
8/31/20243,821259311411N/A
6/1/20243,904291334436N/A
3/2/20243,979314347443N/A
12/2/20234,006331619705N/A
9/2/20234,009343607700N/A
6/3/20233,996360597678N/A
3/4/20233,900364534605N/A
12/3/20223,801355193264N/A
9/3/20223,692340185246N/A
5/28/20223,501302159220N/A
2/26/20223,40829698163N/A
11/27/20213,320245118179N/A
8/28/20213,243217171224N/A
5/29/20213,160203272321N/A
2/27/20213,129187319360N/A
11/28/20203,141224373415N/A
8/29/20203,192251350397N/A
5/30/20203,287265304356N/A
2/29/20203,319267331386N/A
11/30/20193,356280282337N/A
8/31/20193,364289277328N/A
6/1/20193,359295247297N/A
3/2/20193,321295N/A320N/A
12/1/20183,267344N/A335N/A
9/1/20183,204329N/A340N/A
6/2/20183,120316N/A318N/A
3/3/20183,035300N/A268N/A
12/2/20172,970236N/A253N/A
9/2/20172,888231N/A247N/A
6/3/20172,879232N/A274N/A
3/4/20172,863234N/A315N/A
12/3/20162,843230N/A355N/A
9/3/20162,864230N/A401N/A
5/28/20162,846228N/A373N/A
2/27/20162,864226N/A385N/A
11/28/20152,886229N/A314N/A
8/29/20152,910230N/A250N/A
5/30/20152,910233N/A209N/A
2/28/20152,885234N/A169N/A
11/29/20142,840232N/A226N/A
8/30/20142,787234N/A272N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MSM's forecast earnings growth (12.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: MSM's earnings (12.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MSM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MSM's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MSM's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MSM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.7%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/21 13:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/21 00:00
Earnings2025/05/31
Annual Earnings2024/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David MantheyBaird
Scott DavisBarclays
Scott GrahamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research