Stock Analysis

Lockheed Martin (LMT): Assessing Valuation After Recent 7% Pullback and Steady Revenue Growth

Lockheed Martin (LMT) stock has been quietly moving over the past month, dipping around 7%. The company continues to deliver steady revenue growth and higher net income. These are trends that investors are watching closely in the defense sector.

See our latest analysis for Lockheed Martin.

This recent pullback caps off a bumpy ride for Lockheed Martin, whose 1-year total shareholder return has slid nearly 11% even as its share price steadied above the $450 mark. While revenue and profit are heading up, momentum in the share price appears to be fading as the market weighs defense sector outlooks against the company’s strong fundamentals.

With defense stocks in focus, you might want to see which other companies are attracting attention in the sector. Check out See the full list for free..

That leaves investors with a classic dilemma: is Lockheed Martin trading at an attractive discount right now, or has the market already factored in all of its future growth potential?

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Most Popular Narrative: 14% Undervalued

Lockheed Martin’s most-followed narrative suggests the stock’s fair value is $528, well above the last close of $454.16. The spread hints at potential upside if consensus assumptions play out. Let's look at a key justification driving this viewpoint.

Lockheed Martin's technological leadership in areas like stealth, electronic warfare, hypersonics, and integrated air/missile defense systems is being validated by operational success and customer priorities. This supports future contract wins and an expanding addressable market, which could lift revenues and provide opportunities for higher-margin, next-generation products.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how bullish projections, margin rebounds, and surprising market multiples come together to build this robust upside? The most popular narrative relies on bold profit forecasts and a pivotal shift in valuation expectations. Want to know which specific financial levers give analysts confidence in this price target? Dive deeper and see the underlying figures powering the story.

Result: Fair Value of $528 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing cost overruns and uncertainty around government defense budgets still present meaningful risks. These factors could challenge the bullish case for Lockheed Martin.

Find out about the key risks to this Lockheed Martin narrative.

Build Your Own Lockheed Martin Narrative

If you have a different perspective or want to see where the numbers take you, you can quickly create your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Lockheed Martin research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:LMT

Lockheed Martin

An aerospace and defense company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services worldwide.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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