Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.'s (NYSE:GBX) Earnings

NYSE:GBX
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (NYSE:GBX) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Greenbrier Companies certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Greenbrier Companies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GBX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Greenbrier Companies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Greenbrier Companies would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 36%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 34% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 87% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Greenbrier Companies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Greenbrier Companies' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Greenbrier Companies' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Greenbrier Companies is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

You might be able to find a better investment than Greenbrier Companies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.