Carrier Global (CARR): Assessing Valuation After Launch of QuantumLeap Data Center Solutions and New Tech Initiatives

Carrier Global (CARR) is drawing attention after introducing its QuantumLeap suite, featuring advanced cooling and AI-driven energy management solutions aimed at data centers. This debut highlights the company’s aspirations in a rapidly expanding infrastructure market.

See our latest analysis for Carrier Global.

Carrier Global’s latest innovations come at a pivotal moment, as its 1-year total shareholder return stands at -29.72% and the share price has lost ground steadily since the start of 2025. Despite headline product launches and a maintained dividend, downward momentum has gathered pace in recent months. This makes it a stock that investors are watching closely for signs of a turnaround or further risk.

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With shares now trading near historical lows and new technology on the horizon, is this a clear value play for investors, or is the market already pricing in Carrier’s future growth potential?

Most Popular Narrative: 25.6% Undervalued

Carrier Global’s most closely followed valuation narrative estimates fair value at $76.18, compared to a last close of $56.66. With its shares trading well below the consensus price target, the stage is set for potential upside as investors consider the catalysts and assumptions supporting this valuation.

Carrier's innovation in sustainable energy and data center solutions is positioned to capture growing demand, which could boost future revenue and market share. Operational efficiencies and strategic acquisitions, such as the Viessmann acquisition, are expected to enhance margins, strengthen revenue streams, and improve profitability.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what powers such a bullish fair value? This narrative relies on future profit margins and growth rates that could outpace competitors. The specific combination of ambitious forecasts and premium multiples makes this one of the most attention-grabbing stories on Carrier Global’s outlook. You’ll want to see which projections unlock that upside potential.

Result: Fair Value of $76.18 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing challenges in key international regions and softer residential HVAC demand could affect Carrier Global’s growth story and put its recovery at risk.

Find out about the key risks to this Carrier Global narrative.

Another View: Price-to-Earnings Paints a Different Picture

While fair value models suggest Carrier Global is undervalued, looking at its price-to-earnings ratio tells a more expensive story. Carrier trades at 31.4 times earnings, which is higher than both the industry average of 21.5x and its main peers at 28.1x. This gap hints at potential valuation risk if growth disappoints. Could the market adjust if expectations fall short?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Build Your Own Carrier Global Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or want to explore other scenarios, why not dive into the data and craft your own Carrier Global storyline in just a few minutes? Do it your way

A great starting point for your Carrier Global research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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