Carrier Global Corporation

NYSE:CARR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$59.8b

Carrier Global Valuation

Is CARR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CARR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CARR ($68.49) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($56.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CARR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CARR?

Key metric: As CARR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CARR. This is calculated by dividing CARR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CARR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40x
EarningsUS$1.54b
Market CapUS$59.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CARR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CARR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
JCI Johnson Controls International
38x16.0%US$52.1b
TT Trane Technologies
34x8.8%US$84.8b
LII Lennox International
29.7x7.9%US$22.1b
CSL Carlisle Companies
19.2x6.3%US$17.1b
CARR Carrier Global
40x18.2%US$59.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CARR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CARR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
CARR 40.0xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CARR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the US Building industry average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CARR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CARR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40x
Fair PE Ratio33.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CARR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CARR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$68.49
US$82.57
+20.6%
12.1%US$96.00US$53.00n/a22
Dec ’25US$77.37
US$81.73
+5.6%
12.1%US$95.00US$53.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$72.59
US$79.88
+10.0%
12.6%US$95.00US$53.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$79.35
US$74.51
-6.1%
10.2%US$88.00US$53.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$72.78
US$70.82
-2.7%
8.8%US$81.00US$53.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$66.06
US$69.61
+5.4%
9.5%US$81.00US$53.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$61.90
US$65.68
+6.1%
10.3%US$81.00US$53.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$63.19
US$64.62
+2.3%
9.4%US$79.00US$53.00n/a19
May ’25US$61.12
US$63.26
+3.5%
9.4%US$79.00US$50.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$57.40
US$60.71
+5.8%
7.3%US$71.00US$50.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$56.46
US$60.71
+7.5%
7.3%US$71.00US$50.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$55.59
US$59.92
+7.8%
7.6%US$67.00US$50.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$57.45
US$58.31
+1.5%
7.1%US$67.00US$50.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$53.22
US$56.68
+6.5%
8.8%US$67.00US$48.00US$77.3720
Nov ’24US$49.66
US$56.90
+14.6%
9.2%US$67.00US$48.00US$72.5919
Oct ’24US$55.20
US$59.37
+7.6%
8.5%US$67.00US$46.00US$79.3519
Sep ’24US$57.94
US$58.58
+1.1%
10.0%US$67.00US$46.00US$72.7819
Aug ’24US$59.80
US$58.05
-2.9%
10.5%US$67.00US$46.00US$66.0619
Jul ’24US$49.71
US$48.63
-2.2%
6.7%US$55.00US$44.00US$61.9019
Jun ’24US$41.50
US$48.42
+16.7%
6.4%US$55.00US$44.00US$63.1919
May ’24US$41.17
US$48.38
+17.5%
6.5%US$55.00US$44.00US$61.1218
Apr ’24US$45.75
US$49.32
+7.8%
7.1%US$55.00US$40.00US$57.4019
Mar ’24US$45.59
US$49.01
+7.5%
7.0%US$55.00US$40.00US$56.4618
Feb ’24US$46.14
US$47.56
+3.1%
7.9%US$55.00US$40.00US$55.5918
Jan ’24US$41.25
US$45.78
+11.0%
9.6%US$55.00US$38.00US$57.4518
Dec ’23US$44.93
US$44.89
-0.09%
9.4%US$55.00US$38.00US$53.2218

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Carrier Global Corporation is covered by 31 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Julian MitchellBarclays