Johnson Controls International plc

NYSE:JCI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$52.3b

Johnson Controls International Valuation

Is JCI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JCI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JCI ($78.93) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($64.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JCI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JCI?

Key metric: As JCI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JCI. This is calculated by dividing JCI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JCI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37.1x
EarningsUS$1.41b
Market CapUS$52.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JCI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JCI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
CARR Carrier Global
39.9x18.4%US$61.2b
TT Trane Technologies
33.3x8.8%US$83.1b
LII Lennox International
28.8x7.9%US$21.7b
CSL Carlisle Companies
18.7x6.3%US$16.7b
JCI Johnson Controls International
37.1x16.0%US$52.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JCI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
JCI 37.1xIndustry Avg. 21.0xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x) compared to the US Building industry average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JCI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JCI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.1x
Fair PE Ratio30.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JCI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$78.93
US$88.15
+11.7%
7.0%US$96.00US$79.00n/a22
Dec ’25US$83.86
US$87.23
+4.0%
8.3%US$97.00US$72.12n/a22
Nov ’25US$75.50
US$80.41
+6.5%
10.6%US$95.00US$60.00n/a22
Oct ’25US$76.81
US$77.41
+0.8%
11.1%US$95.00US$60.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$72.85
US$76.20
+4.6%
9.9%US$86.00US$60.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$70.33
US$75.75
+7.7%
11.7%US$93.00US$60.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$65.52
US$69.35
+5.8%
10.6%US$82.00US$54.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$71.91
US$68.75
-4.4%
10.4%US$82.00US$54.00n/a20
May ’25US$60.47
US$67.17
+11.1%
9.0%US$79.00US$54.00n/a22
Apr ’25US$65.13
US$64.44
-1.1%
9.5%US$75.00US$48.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$60.12
US$64.08
+6.6%
9.6%US$75.00US$48.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$54.03
US$64.19
+18.8%
9.4%US$75.00US$48.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$57.64
US$65.24
+13.2%
9.8%US$80.00US$54.00US$78.9321
Dec ’24US$53.89
US$69.86
+29.6%
9.0%US$82.00US$58.00US$83.8621
Nov ’24US$49.78
US$69.86
+40.3%
9.0%US$82.00US$58.00US$75.5021
Oct ’24US$53.21
US$73.14
+37.4%
6.8%US$86.00US$64.00US$76.8122
Sep ’24US$59.78
US$73.32
+22.6%
7.6%US$86.00US$58.00US$72.8522
Aug ’24US$70.03
US$74.05
+5.7%
7.7%US$86.00US$58.00US$70.3321
Jul ’24US$68.14
US$72.48
+6.4%
7.6%US$87.00US$58.00US$65.5221
Jun ’24US$59.96
US$72.33
+20.6%
7.6%US$87.00US$58.00US$71.9121
May ’24US$59.61
US$71.75
+20.4%
8.4%US$87.00US$58.00US$60.4720
Apr ’24US$60.22
US$73.00
+21.2%
9.1%US$92.00US$58.00US$65.1320
Mar ’24US$63.19
US$72.75
+15.1%
9.6%US$92.00US$58.00US$60.1220
Feb ’24US$66.36
US$72.75
+9.6%
9.6%US$92.00US$58.00US$54.0320
Jan ’24US$64.00
US$70.25
+9.8%
8.1%US$81.00US$59.00US$57.6420

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 02:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Johnson Controls International plc is covered by 51 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research