Johnson Controls International plc

NYSE:JCI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$44.2b

Johnson Controls International Valuation

Is JCI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JCI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JCI ($64.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($53.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JCI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JCI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

JCI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JCI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JCI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.4x
CARR Carrier Global
38.5x17.9%US$51.9b
TT Trane Technologies
33.2x8.9%US$68.1b
BLDR Builders FirstSource
16.6x2.0%US$25.6b
LII Lennox International
29.3x10.2%US$17.3b
JCI Johnson Controls International
21x11.3%US$44.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JCI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (29.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JCI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JCI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the US Building industry average (24x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JCI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JCI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JCI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JCI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$64.87
US$64.44
-0.7%
9.5%US$75.00US$48.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$60.12
US$64.08
+6.6%
9.6%US$75.00US$48.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$54.03
US$64.19
+18.8%
9.4%US$75.00US$48.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$57.64
US$65.24
+13.2%
9.8%US$80.00US$54.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$53.89
US$69.86
+29.6%
9.0%US$82.00US$58.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$49.78
US$69.86
+40.3%
9.0%US$82.00US$58.00n/a21
Oct ’24US$53.21
US$73.14
+37.4%
6.8%US$86.00US$64.00n/a22
Sep ’24US$59.78
US$73.32
+22.6%
7.6%US$86.00US$58.00n/a22
Aug ’24US$70.03
US$74.05
+5.7%
7.7%US$86.00US$58.00n/a21
Jul ’24US$68.14
US$72.48
+6.4%
7.6%US$87.00US$58.00n/a21
Jun ’24US$59.96
US$72.33
+20.6%
7.6%US$87.00US$58.00n/a21
May ’24US$59.61
US$71.75
+20.4%
8.4%US$87.00US$58.00n/a20
Apr ’24US$60.22
US$73.00
+21.2%
9.4%US$92.00US$58.00n/a19
Mar ’24US$63.19
US$72.75
+15.1%
9.6%US$92.00US$58.00US$60.1220
Feb ’24US$66.36
US$72.75
+9.6%
9.6%US$92.00US$58.00US$54.0320
Jan ’24US$64.00
US$70.25
+9.8%
8.1%US$81.00US$59.00US$57.6420
Dec ’23US$66.90
US$69.65
+4.1%
8.9%US$85.00US$59.00US$53.8920
Nov ’23US$58.00
US$63.19
+8.9%
12.7%US$85.00US$53.00US$49.7821
Oct ’23US$49.22
US$64.48
+31.0%
12.0%US$85.00US$54.00US$53.2121
Sep ’23US$55.65
US$64.48
+15.9%
12.0%US$85.00US$54.00US$59.7821
Aug ’23US$54.12
US$63.71
+17.7%
17.1%US$96.00US$50.00US$70.0321
Jul ’23US$48.48
US$69.29
+42.9%
12.6%US$96.00US$59.00US$68.1421
Jun ’23US$54.00
US$70.10
+29.8%
12.0%US$96.00US$59.00US$59.9621
May ’23US$59.87
US$79.90
+33.5%
10.9%US$98.00US$59.00US$59.6120
Apr ’23US$66.49
US$82.70
+24.4%
10.9%US$98.00US$59.00US$60.2220
Mar ’23US$62.58
US$83.85
+34.0%
11.0%US$106.00US$59.00US$63.1920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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