Stock Analysis

With EPS Growth And More, AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Makes An Interesting Case

NYSE:AER
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

See our latest analysis for AerCap Holdings

How Fast Is AerCap Holdings Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

AerCap Holdings has undergone a massive growth in earnings per share over the last three years. So much so that this three year growth rate wouldn't be a fair assessment of the company's future. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. In impressive fashion, AerCap Holdings' EPS grew from US$7.10 to US$16.90, over the previous 12 months. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 138%.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Not all of AerCap Holdings' revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers used in this article might not be the best representation of the underlying business. AerCap Holdings shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 48% to 53%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in our book.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:AER Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for AerCap Holdings' future EPS 100% free.

Are AerCap Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$17b company like AerCap Holdings. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth US$545m. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.

Should You Add AerCap Holdings To Your Watchlist?

AerCap Holdings' earnings per share have been soaring, with growth rates sky high. That EPS growth certainly is attention grabbing, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke our interest. At times fast EPS growth is a sign the business has reached an inflection point, so there's a potential opportunity to be had here. So at the surface level, AerCap Holdings is worth putting on your watchlist; after all, shareholders do well when the market underestimates fast growing companies. It is worth noting though that we have found 3 warning signs for AerCap Holdings (2 are significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Although AerCap Holdings certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see companies with insider buying, then check out this handpicked selection of companies that not only boast of strong growth but have also seen recent insider buying..

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.