AerCap Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
AerCap Holdings's earnings are forecast to decline at 9.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.9% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 3.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.5% in 3 years.
Key information
-9.6%
Earnings growth rate
-3.5%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 9.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.9% |
| Future return on equity | 12.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 12 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Investors Don't See Light At End Of AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Tunnel
Dec 18
Is AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) A Risky Investment?
Nov 27Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER)
Nov 06AerCap Stock Still Scores A Strong Buy Rating
Oct 31We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Passed With Ease
Sep 26AerCap: The Buy Thesis Strengthens On New Share Repurchase Program
Sep 20AerCap: The World's Biggest Airplane Company You've Never Heard Of
Sep 10Little Excitement Around AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Earnings
Sep 08AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Aug 21AerCap Holdings: This Industry Leader Is A Buy Trading Below Book Value
Aug 05Is It Too Late To Consider Buying AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER)?
Jul 15Investors Aren't Buying AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Earnings
Jun 08AerCap: High Capex And Loan Refinancing Threatens Future Buybacks
May 30AerCap Investor Day Takeaways And Updated SOTP
May 13AerCap Holdings: Hitting Cruising Altitude
May 02With EPS Growth And More, AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Makes An Interesting Case
May 02Is Now The Time To Look At Buying AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER)?
Apr 12These 4 Measures Indicate That AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Is Using Debt Extensively
Mar 22AerCap: Great Year, But Fair Value In Sight (Rating Downgrade)
Mar 04AerCap Share Price Could Potentially Go Higher
Feb 21AerCap: A Quality Compounder Trading Below Fair Value
Jan 02AerCap Holdings: 4 Hidden Factors Why True Tangible Value Is $123 Per Share
Dec 08AerCap Holdings: Going Private In Slow Motion
Nov 20AerCap: Strong Q3 Results And Potential Insurance Claims Make For A Compelling Opportunity
Oct 28AerCap: Size Up As General Electric Sells Down
Sep 25AerCap's Repurchase Playbook With GE Is A Piece Of Art
Sep 13AerCap Stock: Strong Buy On Russia News
Sep 07AerCap: Buy Your Own Airplane And Collect Cash
Aug 02AerCap Holdings: Performance Continues To Impress; Reiterate Buy
May 25AerCap: The Capital Structure Arbitrage Is Back
Feb 27Avoid The Airlines, Buy AerCap
Dec 29AerCap Non-GAAP EPS of $2.21 beats by $0.82, revenue of $1.72B beats by $70M
Nov 03AerCap signs aircraft lease deal with TUI Group
Oct 20Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 8,139 | 2,038 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,078 | 1,799 | 3,038 | 5,052 | 8 |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,882 | 1,745 | 1,447 | 5,035 | 8 |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,817 | 2,533 | -1,017 | 5,552 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,761 | 3,263 | -918 | 5,489 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,727 | 3,308 | -849 | 5,274 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,575 | 3,136 | -971 | 5,261 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,481 | 2,525 | -185 | 5,412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,284 | 1,860 | 12 | 5,219 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,991 | 1,707 | 644 | 5,198 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,915 | -726 | 1,299 | 5,171 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,558 | -1,132 | 1,452 | 5,355 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,876 | -1,138 | 1,998 | 5,031 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,284 | -1,228 | 1,872 | 4,630 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,589 | 1,001 | 1,904 | 3,694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,178 | 940 | 1,485 | 2,612 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,193 | -344 | 1,564 | 2,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,351 | -347 | 1,039 | 1,902 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,494 | -299 | 947 | 2,130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,719 | -17 | 59 | 2,246 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,886 | 1,103 | -1,028 | 2,522 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,970 | 1,188 | -1,056 | 2,989 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,937 | 1,146 | -1,623 | 3,106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,900 | 1,069 | -2,539 | 3,116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,873 | 1,062 | -2,533 | 3,015 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,786 | 984 | -3,066 | 2,848 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,800 | 1,016 | -3,108 | 2,840 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,797 | 1,049 | -2,934 | 2,786 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,904 | 1,052 | N/A | 2,887 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,973 | 1,080 | N/A | 3,077 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,037 | 1,076 | N/A | 3,140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,057 | 1,175 | N/A | 3,351 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,991 | 1,134 | N/A | 3,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,962 | 1,085 | N/A | 3,344 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,043 | 1,047 | N/A | 3,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,098 | 946 | N/A | 3,400 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,213 | 1,014 | N/A | 3,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,316 | 1,090 | N/A | 3,438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,287 | 1,179 | N/A | 3,360 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,242 | 1,213 | N/A | 3,246 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,164 | 1,253 | N/A | 3,329 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 4,596 | 1,067 | N/A | 2,919 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,572 | 810 | N/A | 2,314 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 2,557 | 578 | N/A | 1,656 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 1,591 | 328 | N/A | 977 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 1,070 | 280 | N/A | 694 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 1,050 | 292 | N/A | 693 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).
Earnings vs Market: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-9.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AER's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AER's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AER's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.5%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 14:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
AerCap Holdings N.V. is covered by 29 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jaap Meijer | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Terry Ma | Barclays |
| David Fintzen | Barclays |