We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

AerCap Holdings Valuation

Is AER undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AER?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AER key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AER's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AER vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.4x
URI United Rentals
2.4x8.0%US$26.6b
FAST Fastenal
4x6.3%US$28.0b
GWW W.W. Grainger
1.9x6.4%US$28.3b
WSO Watsco
1.3x3.3%US$9.6b
AER AerCap Holdings
2.3x4.7%US$15.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AER's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.5%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AER is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (1.2x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AER's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AER PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio3.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AER when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AER's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate AER's fair value for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AER forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$62.86
US$73.25
+16.5%
5.6%US$80.00US$68.00n/a8
Jan ’24US$58.32
US$70.63
+21.1%
8.4%US$80.00US$60.00n/a8
Dec ’23US$60.94
US$70.63
+15.9%
8.4%US$80.00US$60.00n/a8
Nov ’23US$53.66
US$69.38
+29.3%
9.9%US$78.00US$58.00n/a8
Oct ’23US$42.33
US$68.94
+62.9%
9.5%US$78.00US$58.00n/a9
Sep ’23US$43.30
US$68.94
+59.2%
9.5%US$78.00US$58.00n/a9
Aug ’23US$44.28
US$68.44
+54.6%
9.3%US$78.00US$58.00n/a9
Jul ’23US$41.23
US$70.00
+69.8%
7.5%US$78.00US$60.00n/a9
Jun ’23US$48.51
US$71.25
+46.9%
5.7%US$78.00US$65.00n/a8
May ’23US$46.71
US$73.50
+57.4%
6.1%US$84.00US$69.50n/a9
Apr ’23US$50.50
US$72.94
+44.4%
4.5%US$79.00US$69.50n/a9
Mar ’23US$52.90
US$78.28
+48.0%
5.9%US$88.00US$70.00n/a9
Feb ’23US$64.41
US$78.05
+21.2%
5.7%US$88.00US$70.00n/a10
Jan ’23US$65.42
US$77.83
+19.0%
6.0%US$88.00US$70.00US$58.329
Dec ’22US$54.50
US$77.83
+42.8%
6.0%US$88.00US$70.00US$60.949
Nov ’22US$63.55
US$73.33
+15.4%
8.9%US$88.00US$67.00US$53.669
Oct ’22US$60.44
US$73.33
+21.3%
8.9%US$88.00US$67.00US$42.339
Sep ’22US$53.90
US$72.11
+33.8%
8.9%US$88.00US$67.00US$43.309
Aug ’22US$53.00
US$72.11
+36.1%
8.9%US$88.00US$67.00US$44.289
Jul ’22US$51.98
US$72.00
+38.5%
9.0%US$88.00US$67.00US$41.239
Jun ’22US$60.11
US$66.50
+10.6%
25.6%US$88.00US$19.00US$48.5110
May ’22US$58.25
US$65.85
+13.0%
25.9%US$88.00US$19.00US$46.7110
Apr ’22US$59.55
US$64.35
+8.1%
26.6%US$88.00US$19.00US$50.5010
Mar ’22US$47.38
US$51.10
+7.9%
21.9%US$60.00US$19.00US$52.9010
Feb ’22US$39.63
US$52.10
+31.5%
23.7%US$70.00US$19.00US$64.4110
Jan ’22US$45.58
US$51.10
+12.1%
24.4%US$70.00US$19.00US$65.4210

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies