AerCap Holdings Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
AerCap Holdings has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 45.7%, while the Trade Distributors industry saw earnings growing at 6.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 13.3% per year. AerCap Holdings's return on equity is 21.3%, and it has net margins of 45.2%.
Key information
45.65%
Earnings growth rate
47.77%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors Industry Growth | 23.44% |
| Revenue growth rate | 13.28% |
| Return on equity | 21.34% |
| Net Margin | 45.22% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • Jun 19
AerCap Holdings (AER) Stock Could Be 12.4% Undervalued Despite A Sharp DCF Gap
AerCap Holdings (AER) has drawn fresh investor attention after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $145.06. That reaction is prompting a closer look at its returns and fundamentals. See our latest analysis for AerCap Holdings. The recent 1-day share price return of 0.65% at $145.06 builds on a 7-day share price return of 5.19% and a 90-day share price return of 10.23%, while the 5-year total shareholder return of 172.83% points to strong long term compounding. If AerCap...
Narrative Update • Jun 05
AER: War Related Deal Uncertainty Will Be Offset By Ongoing Buyback
AerCap Holdings' average analyst price target has edged up by about $2 to roughly $165.50, as analysts factor in slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and modest tweaks to long term revenue and P/E expectations following a mix of recent price target raises and one reduction. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AerCap Holdings show a tilt toward modestly higher valuation assumptions, with several firms raising price targets and one trimming its target by US$5.Seeking Alpha • Jun 02
AerCap: The Underperformer Everyone May Be Mispricing
Summary AerCap Holdings N.V. has underperformed the S&P 500, but I maintain a Strong Buy rating due to its undervalued flight equipment and resilient business model. Recent pressures stem from investor sentiment, concerns about aircraft values, and sector rotation into AI and semiconductor names, not from fundamental weakness at AER. AER's Q1 2026 showed 27% GAAP net income growth, 6% lease revenue growth, expanding net spread margin, and improved debt coverage, supporting robust fundamentals. My price target implies 17–32% upside if flight equipment is marked to market, though current share repurchases add little incremental value at prevailing prices. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 11
AER: Refreshed Models Balance War Related Deal Risks With Buyback Support
AerCap Holdings' updated fair value estimate in this framework edges up to about $164 from $162 as analysts refine their models, balancing softer modeled revenue growth and profit margins with higher assumed future P/E multiples and a slightly higher discount rate following recent price target adjustments across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AerCap highlights both optimism and caution as analysts revise their models and price targets following Q4 results and management commentary.Analysis Article • May 01
AerCap Holdings N.V. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
AerCap Holdings N.V. ( NYSE:AER ) defied analyst predictions to release its first-quarter results, which were ahead of...Narrative Update • Apr 25
AER: Refreshed Post Q4 Models And Aircraft Deals Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have increased their average price target for AerCap Holdings by about $0.33 to $162.00, citing refreshed models following recent quarterly results and management commentary that led firms such as Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank to raise their targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to refreshed valuation work following AerCap Holdings' Q4 results and management commentary, with price targets moving higher as analysts update their models.Narrative Update • Apr 07
AER: Post Q4 Execution And Capital Deployment Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target on AerCap Holdings to about $162, supported by updated post Q4 models that include recent $10 and $30 target increases from major firms following management's latest commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a cluster of higher price targets for AerCap around the post Q4 period, with some firms lifting their views following management's latest commentary and refreshed models.Narrative Update • Mar 23
AER: Benign Credit Conditions And Capital Deployment Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their AerCap Holdings price targets to a range of approximately $160 to $162, reflecting updated models after recent Q4 results, management commentary, and broader 2026 sector outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a cluster of price targets around $160 to $162, built on refreshed models after Q4 results, management commentary, and 2026 sector views.Narrative Update • Mar 08
AER: Benign Credit Conditions And Capital Deployment Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for AerCap Holdings moves to about $162 from roughly $161, with analysts citing refreshed models after recent results and outlook commentary as the key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AerCap Holdings focus on refreshed models following Q4 results and updated outlooks, which have fed directly into higher valuation targets across multiple firms.Narrative Update • Feb 21
AER: Credit Conditions And Capital Deployment Will Shape Future Returns
AerCap Holdings' analyst price target has been raised by about $7 to just over $160 as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, a higher projected profit margin of about 30%, and a slightly lower future P/E ratio, even while trimming revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates provide a glimpse into how the Street is thinking about AerCap Holdings, particularly around where the shares might reasonably trade as outlooks are refreshed.Narrative Update • Feb 07
AER: Tight Aircraft Supply And Capital Deployment Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on AerCap Holdings The analyst price target for AerCap Holdings has been raised from about $152.33 to $153.67, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights a supportive credit backdrop, expectations for loan and mortgage market conditions into 2026, and an extended supply and demand imbalance in aircraft leasing. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AerCap highlight a cluster of higher price targets, with analysts largely focused on credit conditions, aircraft supply and demand, and how management deploys capital over the next few years.Narrative Update • Jan 23
AER: Tight Supply And Capital Deployment Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Narrative Update: AerCap Holdings The analyst price target for AerCap Holdings has been lifted from about US$151.22 to roughly US$152.33. Analysts attribute this change to updated estimates that reflect expectations for a supportive aircraft leasing backdrop, resilient aircraft asset values, and continued opportunities for capital deployment over the coming years.Narrative Update • Jan 09
AER: Tight Aircraft Supply And Capital Deployment Will Continue To Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update: AerCap Holdings Analyst Price Target Shift The analyst price target on AerCap Holdings has moved modestly higher by about US$2 per share to US$151, reflecting updated views that emphasize a supportive aircraft leasing backdrop, sustained aircraft asset values, and continued capital deployment opportunities outlined in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar message, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets into a US$150 to US$162 range and pointing to supportive fundamentals for aircraft leasing and capital deployment.Narrative Update • Dec 18
AER: Tight Aircraft Supply And Capital Deployment Will Continue To Support Future Returns
AerCap Holdings’ fair value estimate has inched higher from approximately $148 to $149.22 per share as analysts, citing a strong quarter, improved profitability assumptions, and expectations for a sustained tight aircraft leasing market with robust capital deployment, lift their price targets into the mid $150s. Analyst Commentary Street research updates reflect a broadly constructive stance on AerCap, with multiple price target hikes into the $150 range as analysts recalibrate models following an exceptional quarter and a still tight aircraft leasing market.Narrative Update • Dec 04
AER: Supply Constraints And Capital Deployment Will Continue To Drive Future Value
AerCap Holdings' analyst price target has been raised meaningfully toward the mid 150 dollar range, as analysts point to an exceptional recent quarter, a sustained supply-demand imbalance in aircraft markets, and the potential for robust capital deployment to drive further value. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that the step up in price targets reflects a combination of stronger than expected execution, attractive capital return potential, and a still favorable supply demand backdrop in both narrowbody and widebody markets.Narrative Update • Nov 20
AER: Persistent Aircraft Supply Constraints Will Drive Value Into 2025
The average analyst price target for AerCap Holdings has increased by $6.63 to $148.00. Analysts cite strong financial performance, favorable supply and demand trends, and robust capital deployment opportunities as key drivers of the upward revision.Narrative Update • Nov 06
AER: High-Quality Portfolio And Supply Constraints Will Support Performance Into 2025
AerCap Holdings’ analyst price target has increased by $8, rising from $133.13 to $141.38. Analysts cite the company’s strong performance, persistent industry supply constraints, and portfolio quality in their revised outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 05
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER)
Unsurprisingly, AerCap Holdings N.V.'s ( NYSE:AER ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report...Analysis Article • Nov 01
AerCap Holdings N.V. Just Beat Revenue Estimates By 17%
It's been a good week for AerCap Holdings N.V. ( NYSE:AER ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Boost AerCap Price Target as Profit Margins Improve and Valuation Outlook Strengthens
Analysts have raised their price target for AerCap Holdings from $132 to $133.13 per share, citing improved profit margins and a slightly lower projected price-to-earnings ratio as key factors supporting the positive revision. What's in the News AerCap Holdings signed a seven-year agreement with GE Aerospace to manage lease pools for the GE9X engine and to continue support for several other GE engine models.Analysis Article • Sep 13
AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jul 09
AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings
AerCap Holdings N.V.'s ( NYSE:AER ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.5x might make it look like a buy right now...Seeking Alpha • Mar 18
AerCap: Key Developments In 2024 Annual Report
Summary AerCap's 2024 20-F filing shows stability in widebody lease expirations and a bullish stance on secondary market values, with a significant shift from Asia to Europe. The company increased its engine leasing clients and added new aircraft, reflecting a strong order book despite delivery delays, and budgeted $6B in capex for 2025. AerCap's debt decreased, maintaining a low debt/equity ratio, and it plans significant share buybacks, potentially reducing shares by 15% in the coming year. Valued at $143 per share, AER stock offers high returns with low risk, leveraging its scale advantages and strategic asset management, despite potential risks like leadership changes and market competition. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
AerCap To Fly To New Heights: Q4 Earnings Fuel A Bullish 2025 Takeoff
Summary AerCap's Q4 earnings validated my bullish stance, showcasing a 43% gain on sale margin and highlighting the company's deeply understated book value. Q1 recoveries related to the Ukraine Conflict could be substantial with the London Mega trial concluding and insurers beginning to settle. Basic lease rents may rise $700 million in 2025, driven by higher lease rates on new asset deliveries and fewer COVID era leases. AerCap remains deeply undervalued, with strong management, a low cost of capital, growing earnings and revenues, and substantial contracted future lease cash flows as drivers for a higher multiple. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 26
AerCap: A Solid Growth Opportunity With Growing Dividends
Summary AerCap's stock price increased by nearly 11% since my Strong Buy rating in October 2024, outperforming the S&P 500's 5.1% return. Despite delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus, AerCap's total revenues grew 7% due to higher aircraft trading activity and attractive margins. AerCap's liquidity is strong, with $20 billion covering capital expenditures and debt maturities, providing excess coverage of $10 billion. Downgrading AerCap from Strong Buy to Buy. I expect stable growth and growing dividends, making it ideal for income-focused investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
AerCap Set To Fly Higher In 2025
Summary AerCap is trading at an undemanding P/E of 8 and should compound book value at 15%+ for the next 4-5 years. New and used aircraft values and lease rates are at historically strong levels, which have only started to benefit AerCap's earnings. The brilliant GECAS acquisition and surge in aircraft values have yet to be fully reflected in AerCap's share price. AerCap's intrinsic value is far above its book value, yet shares are currently trading near book value, creating an opportunity for investors. With accelerating earnings and continued share repurchases, my two year target price for AerCap is above $160/share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 07
AerCap Holdings: A Financial Company That Flies
Summary AerCap Holdings operates by leasing aircraft to airlines globally, acquiring units from Boeing and Airbus, and financing purchases with aircraft as collateral. Viewing AerCap as a financial entity reveals strong financial results, favorable ratios, and manageable leverage, presenting a compelling investment opportunity. Analyzing AerCap like a bank highlights its robust business model and potential for significant returns. The company's strategic approach to aircraft acquisition and leasing positions it well within the financial sector, enhancing its investment appeal. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
AerCap Stock Still Scores A Strong Buy Rating
Summary AerCap Holdings N.V.'s net income declined due to the higher cost of debt and a provision for potential credit losses. Demand for airplanes remains strong, supporting high gains in sales for aircraft trading. AerCap stock provides a rock-solid investment opportunity with an upside to its stock prices for years to come. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 20
AerCap: The Buy Thesis Strengthens On New Share Repurchase Program
Summary AerCap's consistent performance, share repurchases and strategic dividend growth justify maintaining a buy rating for the stock. AerCap's share count has dropped by 21% due to share repurchases, enhancing shareholder value amid lower capex and higher aircraft value. Despite $45 billion in debt, AerCap prioritizes share repurchases over debt reduction to improve return on equity and future dividend growth. AER's valuation suggests a potential 14% upside with a target price of $112, driven by share repurchases and confidence in the aircraft portfolio. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 10
AerCap: The World's Biggest Airplane Company You've Never Heard Of
Summary AerCap, the largest aircraft leasing company, owns over 2000 commercial aircraft and has a diverse portfolio of aircraft and engines. AER's extensive fleet and global reach make it a preferred lessor for all airlines. Despite production issues at Boeing and Airbus, AER remains a prime mover, benefiting from high demand and its strong financial position. AER is a better investment than Boeing or Airbus, offering steady growth, reasonable PE, and selling at book value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How AerCap Holdings makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 8,681 | 3,926 | 559 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 8,517 | 3,751 | 546 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 8,345 | 3,789 | 536 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 7,984 | 2,948 | 528 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 8,056 | 2,137 | 483 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 7,997 | 2,099 | 489 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 7,823 | 2,533 | 488 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 7,767 | 3,263 | 478 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 7,733 | 3,308 | 473 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 7,580 | 3,136 | 464 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 7,481 | 2,525 | 434 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 7,284 | 1,860 | 428 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 6,991 | 1,707 | 413 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 7,014 | -726 | 400 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 6,558 | -1,132 | 427 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 5,876 | -1,138 | 390 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 5,284 | -1,228 | 358 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 4,589 | 1,001 | 318 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 4,178 | 940 | 262 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 4,193 | -344 | 255 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 4,351 | -347 | 235 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 4,494 | -299 | 242 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 4,719 | -17 | 250 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 4,886 | 1,103 | 254 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 4,970 | 1,188 | 265 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 4,937 | 1,146 | 267 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 4,900 | 1,069 | 267 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 4,873 | 1,062 | 266 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 4,786 | 984 | 286 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 4,800 | 1,016 | 305 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,797 | 1,049 | 331 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 4,904 | 1,052 | 351 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 4,973 | 1,080 | 351 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 5,037 | 1,076 | 348 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 5,057 | 1,175 | 360 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 4,991 | 1,134 | 357 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 4,962 | 1,085 | 359 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 5,043 | 1,047 | 351 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 5,098 | 946 | 358 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 5,213 | 1,014 | 368 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 5,316 | 1,090 | 373 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 5,287 | 1,179 | 381 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 5,242 | 1,213 | 395 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 5,164 | 1,253 | 400 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: AER has a large one-off gain of $1.4B impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: AER's current net profit margins (45.2%) are higher than last year (26.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: AER has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 45.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: AER's earnings growth over the past year (83.7%) exceeds its 5-year average (45.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: AER earnings growth over the past year (83.7%) exceeded the Trade Distributors industry 3.9%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst AER's Return on Equity (21.34%) is high, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/20 17:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AerCap Holdings N.V. is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jaap Meijer | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Terry Ma | Barclays |