Stock Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group (NASDAQ:CVGI) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NasdaqGS:CVGI
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVGI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US Machinery industry.

What Is Commercial Vehicle Group's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Commercial Vehicle Group had US$207.3m of debt, up from US$186.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$28.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$178.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CVGI Debt to Equity History October 12th 2022

How Strong Is Commercial Vehicle Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Commercial Vehicle Group had liabilities of US$192.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$230.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$28.5m as well as receivables valued at US$219.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$175.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$140.0m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Commercial Vehicle Group's debt is 3.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.1 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Importantly, Commercial Vehicle Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 20% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Commercial Vehicle Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Commercial Vehicle Group recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both Commercial Vehicle Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Commercial Vehicle Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Commercial Vehicle Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.