AerSale Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
AerSale is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 53.2% and 13.2% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 70% per annum.
Key information
53.2%
Earnings growth rate
70.00%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 18.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 13.2% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 29 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • May 09
AerSale Corporation Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) shares in the week since its...Analysis Article • Mar 09
AerSale Corporation Just Beat EPS By 22%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a pretty great week for AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) shareholders, with its shares surging 18% to...Analysis Article • Nov 10
AerSale Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ), given that the company fell...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 22
ASLE: Central Asia Cargo Lease Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their AerSale price target to reflect small updates to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions, resulting in a refined valuation level in dollar terms without a major shift in their overall view. What’s in the News for AerSale AerSale Corporation agreed to lease a Boeing 757-200 Precision Converted Freighter to Stratos Freight, an all-cargo airline based in Tashkent, Uzbekistan.Narrative Update • Jun 05
ASLE: Central Asia Cargo Lease Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AerSale, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the future P/E. These factors together support a revised fair value estimate of $8.00 per share.Narrative Update • May 20
ASLE: Central Asia Freight Lease Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AerSale to $8.00, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Together these factors point to a more finely tuned view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.Analysis Article • May 15
AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Investors were disappointed with AerSale Corporation's ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We...Narrative Update • May 01
ASLE: Cargo Lease To Central Asia Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on AerSale to $8.00 from $8, reflecting slightly higher discount rate and P/E assumptions while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged. What's in the News AerSale Corporation agreed to lease a Boeing 757-200 Precision Converted Freighter to Stratos Freight, an all cargo airline based in Tashkent, Uzbekistan (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 17
ASLE: Cargo Leasing Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their AerSale price target to a new $ value, reflecting modest tweaks to assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, while keeping the overall fair value view broadly unchanged. What's in the News AerSale leased a Boeing 757-200 Precision Converted Freighter to Stratos Freight, an all cargo airline based in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, to support scheduled and charter operations across Central Asia and nearby trade routes (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 02
ASLE: Expanded MRO And Freighter Leasing Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on AerSale slightly to align it with a fair value of $8.00. This reflects modest changes to assumptions about the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E ratio that refine their overall view.Narrative Update • Mar 19
ASLE: Expanded MRO Footprint Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target on AerSale, citing updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions that together support a modest refinement in their valuation outlook. What's in the News AerSale opened a new Aerostructures MRO facility in Hialeah Gardens, Florida, replacing its prior Medley, Florida operation and signaling a larger physical footprint for its maintenance activities (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 05
ASLE: Fair Value View Will Rely On New Aerostructures MRO Capacity
Narrative Update on AerSale Analysts have kept their AerSale valuation broadly in line with prior work, with modest tweaks to fair value and discount rate contributing to a small adjustment to their overall price target in dollar terms as they refine assumptions around long term revenue, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AerSale opened a new Aerostructures MRO facility in Hialeah Gardens, Florida, replacing its Medley site with a location that is roughly three times larger at just under 90,000 square feet, aimed at increasing throughput and available capacity (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 18
ASLE: Fair Value View Will Rely On Expanded Aerostructures MRO Capacity
Analysts have revised their AerSale price target to reflect updated fair value and discount rate inputs, along with a revised future P/E assumption. The new target is $8.00.Narrative Update • Feb 04
ASLE: Fair Value View Will Depend On New MRO Capacity Assumptions
Analysts have kept their price target on AerSale broadly in line with prior views, making only small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, rather than implementing any major change in the company outlook. What's in the News AerSale opened a new Aerostructures MRO facility in Hialeah Gardens, Florida, replacing its prior Medley, Florida operation with a larger site focused on structural repair services.Narrative Update • Jan 20
ASLE: Fair Value View Will Rely On Margin And Revenue Assumptions
Analysts have nudged their price target on AerSale modestly higher to reflect updated assumptions around slightly stronger revenue growth, profit margins, and fair value estimates, while keeping the forward P/E view broadly in line with prior expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value estimate has moved from 7.0x to 8.0x, indicating a modestly higher implied multiple.Analysis Article • Oct 13
These 4 Measures Indicate That AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Aug 20
AerSale Corporation's (NASDAQ:ASLE) Shares Leap 53% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
NasdaqCM:ASLE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore AerSale's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Aging Fleets And MRO Expansion Will Define Mixed Outcomes
AerSale's fair value outlook has improved due to notable upgrades in both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts, driving the consensus analyst price target up from $6.50 to $7.00. What's in the News AerSale Corporation added to Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index.Analysis Article • May 09
AerSale Corporation Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) shares in the week since its...Analysis Article • Apr 01
Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE)
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) is a stock worth...Analysis Article • Mar 09
AerSale Corporation Just Beat EPS By 22%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a pretty great week for AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) shareholders, with its shares surging 18% to...
New Narrative • Feb 17
AerAware's Flight Vision System Expected To Offer High Margins Upon Market Acceptance
Expansion of the lease pool and MRO facilities is anticipated to drive stable revenue growth and improved net margins.Analysis Article • Nov 10
AerSale Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ), given that the company fell...Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Why I'm Trimming My AerSale Stock Price Target By More Than 30%
Summary AerSale saw improvement in Q2 with revenue and profit growth, driven by asset management solutions and the TechOps segment. Margins contracted due to lower heavy MRO services demand, impacting overall gross profit. AerAware progress remains disappointing, with no clear timeline for product roll out, leading to a reduced price target to $6.70. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 18
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By AerSale Corporation's (NASDAQ:ASLE) Revenues
When close to half the companies operating in the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • May 01
Does AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Mar 14
Investors Give AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Shares A 29% Hiding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) share price has dived 29% in the last...Analysis Article • Jan 04
AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
There wouldn't be many who think AerSale Corporation's ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth...Analysis Article • Oct 11
Is There An Opportunity With AerSale Corporation's (NASDAQ:ASLE) 43% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for AerSale is US$28.14 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity AerSale's...Analysis Article • Mar 31
AerSale (NASDAQ:ASLE) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Mar 10
Results: AerSale Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
It's been a mediocre week for AerSale Corporation ( NASDAQ:ASLE ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 17% to US$17.12...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 420 | 22 | 5 | 20 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 318 | 6 | -27 | -22 | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 340 | 10 | -14 | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 335 | 9 | -33 | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 339 | 6 | -18 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 351 | 7 | 1 | 23 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 320 | -6 | -42 | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 345 | 6 | -18 | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 345 | 0 | -51 | -32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 355 | 0 | -101 | -82 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 347 | 1 | -147 | -133 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 335 | -6 | -186 | -174 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 335 | 6 | -175 | -166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 294 | -3 | -181 | -171 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 364 | 27 | -121 | -106 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 409 | 44 | -16 | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 430 | 46 | 34 | 50 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 452 | 53 | 98 | 112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 405 | 43 | 131 | 136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 340 | 36 | 75 | 79 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 273 | 25 | -11 | -6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 257 | 42 | -49 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 210 | 17 | -54 | -48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 209 | 8 | -19 | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 280 | 9 | 69 | 76 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 291 | -10 | 108 | 98 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 304 | -10 | 68 | 83 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 304 | -19 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 243 | -25 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 291 | -46 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 175 | -32 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ASLE's forecast earnings growth (53.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: ASLE's earnings (53.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ASLE's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ASLE's revenue (13.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ASLE's revenue (13.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ASLE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/01 04:13 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
AerSale Corporation is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Van Sinderen | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Kenneth Herbert | RBC Capital Markets |
| Bert Subin | Stifel, Equities Research |