AerSale Corporation

NasdaqCM:ASLE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$349.6m

AerSale Valuation

Is ASLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASLE ($6.44) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASLE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASLE?

Key metric: As ASLE is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ASLE. This is calculated by dividing ASLE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ASLE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$344.75m
Market CapUS$349.60m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ASLE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ASLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.7x
PKE Park Aerospace
5.2xn/aUS$301.6m
NPK National Presto Industries
1.6xn/aUS$558.6m
BYRN Byrna Technologies
6.1x22.4%US$479.6m
TATT TAT Technologies
1.7xn/aUS$241.4m
ASLE AerSale
1x11.4%US$349.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ASLE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.5x4.9%US$1.92b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$24.78m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x8.9%US$15.18m
ASLE 1.0xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies11PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASLE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASLE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.44
US$7.33
+13.9%
6.4%US$8.00US$7.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$5.37
US$7.67
+42.8%
6.1%US$8.00US$7.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$5.06
US$8.33
+64.7%
15.0%US$10.00US$7.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$5.09
US$9.00
+76.8%
17.6%US$11.00US$7.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$6.59
US$10.50
+59.3%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$6.51
US$10.50
+61.3%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$7.57
US$10.50
+38.7%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
May ’25US$7.10
US$10.50
+47.9%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$7.36
US$10.50
+42.7%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$9.05
US$16.00
+76.8%
19.3%US$19.00US$12.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$9.17
US$16.75
+82.7%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$12.70
US$16.75
+31.9%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$14.37
US$16.75
+16.6%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$15.30
US$18.00
+17.6%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00US$5.374
Oct ’24US$14.94
US$18.00
+20.5%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00US$5.064
Sep ’24US$14.75
US$18.00
+22.0%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00US$5.094
Aug ’24US$14.71
US$21.00
+42.8%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$6.594
Jul ’24US$14.70
US$21.00
+42.9%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$6.514
Jun ’24US$14.91
US$21.00
+40.8%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.574
May ’24US$16.82
US$21.50
+27.8%
5.2%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.104
Apr ’24US$17.22
US$21.50
+24.9%
5.2%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.364
Mar ’24US$20.01
US$21.75
+8.7%
6.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$9.054
Feb ’24US$18.93
US$21.75
+14.9%
6.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$9.174
Jan ’24US$16.22
US$20.75
+27.9%
7.1%US$23.00US$19.00US$12.704
Dec ’23US$15.77
US$21.33
+35.3%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$14.373
Nov ’23US$20.35
US$21.50
+5.7%
7.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$15.302

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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