AerSale Corporation

NasdaqCM:ASLE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$349.9m

AerSale Valuation

Is ASLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASLE ($6.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($115.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASLE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASLE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ASLE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA78.5x
PEG Ratio4.7x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ASLE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ASLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
PKE Park Aerospace
4.9xn/aUS$276.7m
BYRN Byrna Technologies
3.8x21.9%US$228.5m
LUNR Intuitive Machines
1.6x32.6%US$517.0m
NPK National Presto Industries
1.6xn/aUS$527.4m
ASLE AerSale
1x15.8%US$349.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASLE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASLE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ASLE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.60
US$10.50
+59.1%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$6.51
US$10.50
+61.3%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$7.57
US$10.50
+38.7%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
May ’25US$7.10
US$10.50
+47.9%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$7.36
US$10.50
+42.7%
21.8%US$13.00US$7.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$9.05
US$16.00
+76.8%
19.3%US$19.00US$12.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$9.17
US$16.75
+82.7%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$12.70
US$16.75
+31.9%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$14.37
US$16.75
+16.6%
13.6%US$19.00US$14.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$15.30
US$18.00
+17.6%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00n/a4
Oct ’24US$14.94
US$18.00
+20.5%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00n/a4
Sep ’24US$14.75
US$18.00
+22.0%
20.4%US$23.00US$14.00n/a4
Aug ’24US$14.71
US$21.00
+42.8%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00n/a4
Jul ’24US$14.70
US$21.00
+42.9%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$6.514
Jun ’24US$14.91
US$21.00
+40.8%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.574
May ’24US$16.82
US$21.50
+27.8%
5.2%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.104
Apr ’24US$17.22
US$21.50
+24.9%
5.2%US$23.00US$20.00US$7.364
Mar ’24US$20.01
US$21.75
+8.7%
6.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$9.054
Feb ’24US$18.93
US$21.75
+14.9%
6.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$9.174
Jan ’24US$16.22
US$20.75
+27.9%
7.1%US$23.00US$19.00US$12.704
Dec ’23US$15.77
US$21.33
+35.3%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00US$14.373
Nov ’23US$20.35
US$21.50
+5.7%
7.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$15.302
Oct ’23US$18.54
US$21.50
+16.0%
7.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$14.942
Sep ’23US$19.98
US$21.50
+7.6%
7.0%US$23.00US$20.00US$14.752

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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