Stock Analysis

AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

NasdaqCM:ASLE
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There wouldn't be many who think AerSale Corporation's (NASDAQ:ASLE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States is similar at about 1.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for AerSale

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:ASLE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

What Does AerSale's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

AerSale hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AerSale.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AerSale?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like AerSale's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 36% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that AerSale's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On AerSale's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at AerSale's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with AerSale (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:ASLE

AerSale

Provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, and government and defense contractors, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) service providers worldwide.

Good value with reasonable growth potential.