Stellar Bancorp, Inc.

NYSE:STEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

Stellar Bancorp Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 2/6

Stellar Bancorp has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 11.2%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 3.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 15.6% per year. Stellar Bancorp's return on equity is 6.3%, and it has net margins of 25%.

Key information

11.25%

Earnings growth rate

-9.64%

EPS growth rate

Banks Industry Growth11.18%
Revenue growth rate15.62%
Return on equity6.30%
Net Margin24.99%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 01

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Vote And P E Assumptions

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate and future P/E, while maintaining their prior fair value estimate. What's in the News Stellar Bancorp has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for May 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Standard Time in the Galveston conference room, 9 Greenway Plaza, eighth floor, Houston, Texas.
Narrative Update May 02

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance P E Assumptions And Meeting Risks

Analysts have adjusted their $38.00 price target on Stellar Bancorp, citing slightly revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as the basis for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on regional banks, including the upgraded view on Stellar Bancorp, gives you a sense of how professionals are thinking about valuation, earnings power, and execution risk around the updated US$38.00 target.
Narrative Update Apr 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms And Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts have kept their $38.00 price target intact for Stellar Bancorp, citing only marginal tweaks to long term growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions after weighing mixed recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the current $38.00 target as reasonable based on their updated long term growth and profit margin assumptions, even after incorporating the latest research.
Narrative Update Apr 02

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms And Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00. They describe this level as aligned with updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after considering mixed recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade from different firms.
Narrative Update Mar 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Stellar Bancorp at $38.00, citing offsetting views from a recent upgrade at Keefe Bruyette and a downgrade at Raymond James, which leave key assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E essentially unchanged. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the current fair value estimate of $38.00 as supported by the existing assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, seeing enough earnings power to justify maintaining those inputs.
Narrative Update Mar 04

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Mixed Rating Signals

Narrative Update on Stellar Bancorp The analyst price target for Stellar Bancorp has been adjusted to $38.00, with analysts indicating that updated assumptions around the stock's forward P/E and recent mixed ratings activity are key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Stellar Bancorp, which helps explain the recalibrated $38.00 price target and the focus on forward P/E assumptions.
New Narrative Feb 18

Relationship Banking And Low Cost Deposits Will Drive A Stronger Long Term Franchise

Catalysts About Stellar Bancorp Stellar Bancorp operates Stellar Bank, a Texas based community bank focused on relationship driven commercial and retail banking. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Feb 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Mixed Rating Signals

Narrative Update on Stellar Bancorp Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00, reflecting updated views on the bank's earnings power and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, while applying a slightly different discount rate to their cash flow outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Stellar Bancorp reflects a split view, with one upgrade and one downgrade landing within a short window.
Narrative Update Feb 04

STEL: Fair Outlook Balances Merger Terms With Higher Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target for Stellar Bancorp from US$31.60 to US$38.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts interpret the higher price target as support for the view that Stellar Bancorp can execute on its updated revenue and margin assumptions, even with a lower forward P/E multiple applied.
New Narrative Feb 04

Competitive Loan Growth And Funding Pressures Will Constrain Long Term Performance

Catalysts About Stellar Bancorp Stellar Bancorp operates a regional banking platform focused on relationship banking, with an emphasis on loans and deposits across its Texas markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article Nov 25

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.15

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. ( NYSE:STEL ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of...
Analysis Article Nov 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.14

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. ( NYSE:STEL ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of...
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New Narrative Sep 24

Critical Shifts And High Costs Spell Trouble For Bank's Future Earnings

Strategic emphasis on maintaining strong capital and adjusting loan portfolios may suppress future earnings growth and impact return on equity.
Analysis Article Aug 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.13

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STEL ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.13 per share on 30th of September...
Analysis Article May 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.13

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STEL ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.13 per share on 28th of June. The...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Stellar Bancorp makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:STEL Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 264211052340
31 Dec 254131032320
30 Sep 254171022340
30 Jun 254251102310
31 Mar 254311142290
31 Dec 244341152300
30 Sep 244391172260
30 Jun 244341142220
31 Mar 244371192190
31 Dec 234521302150
30 Sep 234221052120
30 Jun 23375891880
31 Mar 23321701660
31 Dec 22259511420
30 Sep 22240711170
30 Jun 22237761180
31 Mar 22240821180
31 Dec 21239821190
30 Sep 21229761170
30 Jun 21223731130
31 Mar 21204601100
31 Dec 20183461060
30 Sep 20178441030
30 Jun 20171391030
31 Mar 20177441030
31 Dec 19187531030
30 Sep 19185521020
30 Jun 1917049930
31 Mar 1915142840
31 Dec 1813237750
30 Sep 1811427670
30 Jun 1810621660
31 Mar 1810019630
31 Dec 179618610
30 Sep 179320590
30 Jun 179423560
31 Mar 179223540
31 Dec 169023520
30 Sep 168621500
30 Jun 168320490
31 Mar 168118490
31 Dec 157815490
30 Sep 157113450
30 Jun 156311400

Quality Earnings: STEL has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: STEL's current net profit margins (25%) are lower than last year (26.4%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: STEL's earnings have grown by 11.2% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: STEL's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: STEL had negative earnings growth (-7.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Banks industry average (22.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: STEL's Return on Equity (6.3%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 05:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bryce RoweBaird
John RodisBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)
Catherine Summerson MealorKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods