Stellar Bancorp, Inc.

NYSE:STEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Stellar Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Stellar Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.6% and 5.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 7.7% per annum.

Key information

6.6%

Earnings growth rate

7.66%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.2%
Revenue growth rate5.4%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jun 21

Stellar Bancorp (STEL) Stock Looks Fully Priced After Profit Growth And Buy Signals

Stellar Bancorp (STEL) is back on traders’ screens after recent data highlighted year-over-year gains in revenue and net profit, a solid financial health score, and technical signals pointing to ongoing positive price momentum. See our latest analysis for Stellar Bancorp. At a share price of $38.43, Stellar Bancorp has recorded a 24.93% year to date share price return. The 1 year total shareholder return of 45.45% and 3 year total shareholder return of 79.73% point to momentum that has been...
Narrative Update • Jun 16

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Vote And Future P E Assumptions

Narrative Update Overview Analysts now hold Stellar Bancorp's fair value estimate steady at $38.00, citing updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that collectively support this unchanged price target. What's in the News Stellar Bancorp has scheduled a special and extraordinary shareholders meeting for May 27, 2026, at 10:00 Central Standard Time, at 9 Greenway Plaza, eighth floor, Galveston Conference Room, Houston, Texas 77046, United States.
Narrative Update • Jun 01

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Vote And P E Assumptions

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate and future P/E, while maintaining their prior fair value estimate. What's in the News Stellar Bancorp has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for May 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Standard Time in the Galveston conference room, 9 Greenway Plaza, eighth floor, Houston, Texas.
Narrative Update • May 02

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance P E Assumptions And Meeting Risks

Analysts have adjusted their $38.00 price target on Stellar Bancorp, citing slightly revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as the basis for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on regional banks, including the upgraded view on Stellar Bancorp, gives you a sense of how professionals are thinking about valuation, earnings power, and execution risk around the updated US$38.00 target.
Narrative Update • Apr 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms And Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts have kept their $38.00 price target intact for Stellar Bancorp, citing only marginal tweaks to long term growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions after weighing mixed recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the current $38.00 target as reasonable based on their updated long term growth and profit margin assumptions, even after incorporating the latest research.
Narrative Update • Apr 02

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms And Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00. They describe this level as aligned with updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after considering mixed recent research that includes both an upgrade and a downgrade from different firms.
Narrative Update • Mar 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Conflicting Rating Signals

Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Stellar Bancorp at $38.00, citing offsetting views from a recent upgrade at Keefe Bruyette and a downgrade at Raymond James, which leave key assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E essentially unchanged. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the current fair value estimate of $38.00 as supported by the existing assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, seeing enough earnings power to justify maintaining those inputs.
Narrative Update • Mar 04

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Mixed Rating Signals

Narrative Update on Stellar Bancorp The analyst price target for Stellar Bancorp has been adjusted to $38.00, with analysts indicating that updated assumptions around the stock's forward P/E and recent mixed ratings activity are key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Stellar Bancorp, which helps explain the recalibrated $38.00 price target and the focus on forward P/E assumptions.
New Narrative • Feb 18

Relationship Banking And Low Cost Deposits Will Drive A Stronger Long Term Franchise

Catalysts About Stellar Bancorp Stellar Bancorp operates Stellar Bank, a Texas based community bank focused on relationship driven commercial and retail banking. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Feb 18

STEL: Fair Outlook Will Balance Merger Terms With Mixed Rating Signals

Narrative Update on Stellar Bancorp Analysts have adjusted their price target on Stellar Bancorp to $38.00, reflecting updated views on the bank's earnings power and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, while applying a slightly different discount rate to their cash flow outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Stellar Bancorp reflects a split view, with one upgrade and one downgrade landing within a short window.
Narrative Update • Feb 04

STEL: Fair Outlook Balances Merger Terms With Higher Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target for Stellar Bancorp from US$31.60 to US$38.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts interpret the higher price target as support for the view that Stellar Bancorp can execute on its updated revenue and margin assumptions, even with a lower forward P/E multiple applied.
New Narrative • Feb 04

Competitive Loan Growth And Funding Pressures Will Constrain Long Term Performance

Catalysts About Stellar Bancorp Stellar Bancorp operates a regional banking platform focused on relationship banking, with an emphasis on loans and deposits across its Texas markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article • Nov 25

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.15

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. ( NYSE:STEL ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of...
Analysis Article • Nov 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.14

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. ( NYSE:STEL ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of...
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New Narrative • Sep 24

Critical Shifts And High Costs Spell Trouble For Bank's Future Earnings

Strategic emphasis on maintaining strong capital and adjusting loan portfolios may suppress future earnings growth and impact return on equity.
Analysis Article • Aug 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.13

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STEL ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.13 per share on 30th of September...
Analysis Article • May 27

Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.13

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.'s ( NYSE:STEL ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.13 per share on 28th of June. The...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:STEL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027463118N/AN/A4
12/31/2026443111N/AN/A1
3/31/2026421105115119N/A
12/31/20254131039397N/A
9/30/20254171028388N/A
6/30/20254251107883N/A
3/31/20254311149196N/A
12/31/2024434115128133N/A
9/30/2024439117155160N/A
6/30/2024434114134139N/A
3/31/2024437119144150N/A
12/31/2023452130161168N/A
9/30/2023422105163172N/A
6/30/202337589160166N/A
3/31/202332170137142N/A
12/31/202225951105109N/A
9/30/20222407199100N/A
6/30/202223776103104N/A
3/31/202224082100102N/A
12/31/202123982104107N/A
9/30/202122976101105N/A
6/30/2021223737682N/A
3/31/2021204606572N/A
12/31/2020183465461N/A
9/30/2020178444350N/A
6/30/2020171394156N/A
3/31/2020177444358N/A
12/31/201918753N/A67N/A
9/30/201918552N/A68N/A
6/30/201917049N/A62N/A
3/31/201915142N/A54N/A
12/31/201813237N/A46N/A
9/30/201811427N/A39N/A
6/30/201810621N/A35N/A
3/31/201810019N/A36N/A
12/31/20179618N/A33N/A
9/30/20179320N/A33N/A
6/30/20179423N/A33N/A
3/31/20179223N/A31N/A
12/31/20169023N/A27N/A
9/30/20168621N/A26N/A
6/30/20168320N/A23N/A
3/31/20168118N/A24N/A
12/31/20157815N/A20N/A
9/30/20157113N/A17N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: STEL's forecast earnings growth (6.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: STEL's earnings (6.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: STEL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: STEL's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: STEL's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if STEL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/30 05:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/30 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bryce RoweBaird
John RodisBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)
Catherine Summerson MealorKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods