Stock Analysis

Norwood Financial's (NASDAQ:NWFL) earnings growth rate lags the 10.0% CAGR delivered to shareholders

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NasdaqGM:NWFL
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Norwood Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:NWFL) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But at least the stock is up over the last three years. However, it's unlikely many shareholders are elated with the share price gain of 18% over that time, given the rising market.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 12%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Norwood Financial

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, Norwood Financial achieved compound earnings per share growth of 17% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 8.23 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGM:NWFL Earnings Per Share Growth March 15th 2023

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Norwood Financial, it has a TSR of 33% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Norwood Financial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Norwood Financial is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

What are the risks and opportunities for Norwood Financial?

Norwood Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Wayne Bank that provides various banking products and services.

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Rewards

  • Trading at 37.3% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings grew by 17.3% over the past year

Risks

No risks detected for NWFL from our risks checks.

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