Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Mid Penn Bancorp (NASDAQ:MPB) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

NasdaqGM:MPB
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Mid Penn Bancorp (NASDAQ:MPB). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

Check out our latest analysis for Mid Penn Bancorp

How Quickly Is Mid Penn Bancorp Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. Impressively, Mid Penn Bancorp has grown EPS by 19% per year, compound, in the last three years. If growth like this continues on into the future, then shareholders will have plenty to smile about.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. It's noted that Mid Penn Bancorp's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. Mid Penn Bancorp maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 22% to US$167m. That's encouraging news for the company!

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGM:MPB Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Mid Penn Bancorp's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Mid Penn Bancorp Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

It's pleasing to note that insiders spent US$1.0m buying Mid Penn Bancorp shares, over the last year, without reporting any share sales whatsoever. The shareholders within the general public should find themselves expectant and certainly hopeful, that this large outlay signals prescient optimism for the business. It is also worth noting that it was Independent Director Theodore Mowery who made the biggest single purchase, worth US$145k, paying US$28.95 per share.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Mid Penn Bancorp bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. To be specific, they have US$41m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Those holdings account for over 13% of the company; visible skin in the game.

While insiders are apparently happy to hold and accumulate shares, that is just part of the big picture. That's because Mid Penn Bancorp's CEO, Rory Ritrievi, is paid at a relatively modest level when compared to other CEOs for companies of this size. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Mid Penn Bancorp with market caps between US$200m and US$800m is about US$2.6m.

Mid Penn Bancorp's CEO took home a total compensation package worth US$1.3m in the year leading up to December 2022. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Mid Penn Bancorp To Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Mid Penn Bancorp's strong EPS growth. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. These things considered, this is one stock worth watching. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Mid Penn Bancorp that you should be aware of before investing here.

Keen growth investors love to see insider buying. Thankfully, Mid Penn Bancorp isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.