Horizon Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Horizon Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 55.1% and 14% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 47.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

55.1%

Earnings growth rate

47.6%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	14.0%
Future return on equity	9.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Horizon Bancorp's (NASDAQ:HBNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Mar 28

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.16

Jan 03

Horizon Bancorp goes ex dividend tomorrow

Oct 05

Horizon Bancorp's (NASDAQ:HBNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Oct 02

Horizon Bancorp: Strong Loan Growth To Lift Earnings

Aug 25

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Aug 16

Horizon Bancorp Non-GAAP EPS of $0.57 beats by $0.05, revenue of $65.44M beats by $1.71M

Jul 27

Horizon Bancorp's (NASDAQ:HBNC) Dividend Will Be Increased To US$0.16

Jun 30

Horizon Bancorp: Loan Growth Likely To Boost The Bottom Line

Jun 10

Horizon Bancorp's (NASDAQ:HBNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Mar 24

Horizon Bancorp: Strong Topline Growth On The Cards

Mar 13

Does Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Mar 02

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:HBNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	270	79	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	257	74	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2024	233	29	N/A	N/A	4
9/30/2024	184	21	65	70	N/A
6/30/2024	180	19	63	67	N/A
3/31/2024	183	24	62	70	N/A
12/31/2023	185	28	81	89	N/A
9/30/2023	224	74	77	85	N/A
6/30/2023	233	82	75	83	N/A
3/31/2023	240	88	86	91	N/A
12/31/2022	246	93	88	94	N/A
9/30/2022	245	94	95	100	N/A
6/30/2022	243	93	96	101	N/A
3/31/2022	236	90	100	101	N/A
12/31/2021	232	87	105	106	N/A
9/30/2021	234	88	103	105	N/A
6/30/2021	233	85	96	99	N/A
3/31/2021	222	77	79	84	N/A
12/31/2020	209	68	73	79	N/A
9/30/2020	207	65	68	73	N/A
6/30/2020	202	65	75	81	N/A
3/31/2020	206	67	84	91	N/A
12/31/2019	201	67	170	174	N/A
9/30/2019	190	61	168	172	N/A
6/30/2019	177	54	158	161	N/A
3/31/2019	167	51	152	154	N/A
12/31/2018	166	53	69	72	N/A
9/30/2018	164	48	73	76	N/A
6/30/2018	158	43	N/A	68	N/A
3/31/2018	151	38	N/A	60	N/A
12/31/2017	143	33	N/A	49	N/A
9/30/2017	132	31	N/A	51	N/A
6/30/2017	130	30	N/A	40	N/A
3/31/2017	126	27	N/A	35	N/A
12/31/2016	120	24	N/A	26	N/A
9/30/2016	118	24	N/A	25	N/A
6/30/2016	113	22	N/A	31	N/A
3/31/2016	105	20	N/A	33	N/A
12/31/2015	100	20	N/A	35	N/A
9/30/2015	97	19	N/A	21	N/A
6/30/2015	91	20	N/A	28	N/A
3/31/2015	91	20	N/A	27	N/A
12/31/2014	86	18	N/A	18	N/A
9/30/2014	85	17	N/A	26	N/A
6/30/2014	83	17	N/A	32	N/A
3/31/2014	83	18	N/A	33	N/A
12/31/2013	85	20	N/A	47	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HBNC's forecast earnings growth (55.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HBNC's earnings (55.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HBNC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HBNC's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HBNC's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HBNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 03:24
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/26 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Brian Martin	FIG Partners
Brendan Nosal	Hovde Group, LLC
Brian Martin	Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Horizon Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 9.9% to US$18.90

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 7.0% to US$15.25

Price target increased by 8.7% to US$12.50

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$11.50

Recent updates

Third quarter dividend of US$0.16 announced

Insider recently sold US$350k worth of stock

Price target increased by 9.9% to US$18.90

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31%, revenue upgraded

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 23, 2024

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16

Second quarter dividend of US$0.16 announced

Now 20% undervalued

Now 20% undervalued

Price target increased by 7.0% to US$15.25

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Now 21% undervalued

First quarter dividend of US$0.16 announced

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 24, 2024

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Names John R. Stewart as Executive Vice President, on May 20, 2024

Now 20% undervalued

Horizon Bancorp: Attractive Dividend Yield And A Positive Earnings Outlook

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 24, 2024

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.16 announced

Horizon Bancorp, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Horizon Bancorp: All In All, A Positive Q4 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Announces Executive Appointments

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. and Horizon Bank Announces Retirement of Peter L. Pairitz from the Board of Directors

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Announces Passing of Director Spero W. Valavanis

Upcoming dividend of US$0.16 per share at 4.4% yield

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 24, 2024

Price target increased by 8.7% to US$12.50

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 50%

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Announces CFO Transition

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Announces CFO Transition

Price target decreased by 11% to US$11.50

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Price target decreased by 7.2% to US$12.88

Upcoming dividend of US$0.16 per share at 6.1% yield

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 25, 2023

Price target increased by 9.9% to US$13.88

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 26, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.16 per share at 6.1% yield

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. and Horizon Bank Announce Retirement of Susan D. Aaron from the Board of Directors, Effective on December 31, 2023

the Gross Law Firm Notifies Shareholders of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. of A Class Action Lawsuit and Lead Plaintiff Deadline of June 20, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$15.40

Upcoming dividend of US$0.16 per share at 5.9% yield

Price target decreased by 8.9% to US$16.40

Horizon Bancorp's (NASDAQ:HBNC) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. Announces Thomas M. Prame to Be Appointed Chief Executive Officer Effective June 1, 2023

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.16

Upcoming dividend of US$0.16 per share

Horizon Bank Announces Director Changes

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Jan 25, 2023

Price target decreased to US$18.20

Insufficient new directors

Insider recently bought US$102k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Price target decreased to US$21.40

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations