Horizon Bancorp, Inc.

NasdaqGS:HBNC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$962.4m

Horizon Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Horizon Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 115.2% and 86.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 116.3% per annum.

Key information

115.2%

Earnings growth rate

116.31%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.2%
Revenue growth rate86.4%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 02

HBNC: Overweight Rating And Lower Forward P E Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Horizon Bancorp to $21.20 from $20.80, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlighting an Overweight view see room for Horizon Bancorp to execute on its revenue plans, which supports the updated fair value estimate of $21.20.
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

Horizon Bancorp Continues To Benefit From Steps Taken In 2025

Summary Horizon Bancorp has delivered an 8.7% total return since my last Buy rating, outperforming the S&P 500 and KRE. Strategic asset sales, including $1.7B in securities and $190M in auto loans, have reduced risk and are expected to improve margins and ROA. Deposit costs remain well-managed at 1.97%, 72 bps below peers, reflecting successful efforts to reduce high-cost transactional deposits. HBNC maintains a 3.78% forward yield, with consensus expecting a dividend increase later this year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 18

HBNC: Overweight Rating And Refreshed P E Assumptions Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Horizon Bancorp by $2, citing recent coverage assumptions and updates that reflect adjustments to the discount rate, long term growth, and projected P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the refreshed coverage as a chance to reset assumptions on discount rates and long term growth, which they see as better aligned with Horizon Bancorp’s current positioning.
Narrative Update Apr 02

HBNC: Overweight Rating And Higher P E Expectations Will Support Upside

Analysts have adjusted the Horizon Bancorp valuation, trimming the fair value estimate from $21.20 to $20.80. Recent research, including an Overweight initiation and a higher published price target, highlights updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue outlook, profit margin, and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 19

HBNC: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Stronger Forward Earnings Visibility

Analysts have increased their Horizon Bancorp price target by $2, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, and future P/E ratios that they believe are now better aligned with current fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of updated assumptions on discount rates that they see as better matching current market conditions and Horizon Bancorp’s risk profile.
Narrative Update Mar 05

HBNC: Revised Earnings And Margin Profile Will Support Higher Fair Value

Analysts have raised their Horizon Bancorp price target by $2 to $21.20, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher US$21.20 target as support for their updated view of Horizon Bancorp's fair value based on current Street research inputs.
Analysis Article Dec 21

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.16

The board of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HBNC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of January...
Analysis Article Oct 02

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.16

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HBNC ) will pay a dividend of $0.16 on the 17th of October. This means the annual...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16

The board of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HBNC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 18th of July, with...
Seeking Alpha Apr 10

Horizon Bancorp: Attractive Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

Summary Horizon Bancorp shares have declined 25% from their highs, presenting a buying opportunity ahead of their April 23rd earnings report. The bank has undergone a smooth management transition, with a new CEO and independent chairman, posing a modest but acceptable risk. Horizon's balance sheet repositioning has boosted net interest margins, and the bank is well-capitalized with an 11% CET1 ratio. Despite tariff-related uncertainties, HBNC is well-positioned for growth, with a fair value estimate of $16, offering 15% upside plus a 5% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 29

Horizon Bancorp Appears Undervalued With A Positive Earnings Outlook

Summary The loan growth will likely slow down significantly this year because of a planned runoff of auto loans. Further, the outlook for commercial loans is lackluster. The recent sales of AFS Securities and the Mortgage Warehouse business will lift the net interest margin. Further, interest rate cuts will benefit the margin. I’m expecting earnings to grow to $1.75 per share in 2025 from $0.80 per share in 2024. HBNC is offering a high price upside of 19% and a good dividend yield of 4.1%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Mar 22

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.16

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HBNC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.16 per share on the 18th of...
Analysis Article Sep 24

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16

The board of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:HBNC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 18th of October...
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New Narrative Sep 24

John Stewart's Arrival And Calculated Finance Overhaul To Spearhead Revenue Surge And Margin Expansion

Strengthening financial strategy with a new CFO and expanding loan portfolio could notably enhance Horizon Bancorp's revenue growth and profitability.
Seeking Alpha May 03

Horizon Bancorp: Attractive Dividend Yield And A Positive Earnings Outlook

Summary I’ve increased my loan growth and margin estimates after the stronger-than-expected performance in the first quarter. Planned asset re-mixes and the upcoming interest rate cuts will likely drive the net interest margin. The December 2024 target price suggests a price upside of ~ 20% as of the writing of this report. HBNC is offering quite a high dividend yield of 5.2%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 31

Horizon Bancorp: All In All, A Positive Q4 2023

Summary Horizon Bancorp's Q4 earnings report showed a miss in EPS and revenue, but a closer analysis reveals positive aspects. The company faced extraordinary expenses, but is entering 2024 with expanding margins and financial flexibility. The bank's low LTD ratio and ample cash on hand position it well for growth and reduced competition in 2024. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:HBNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027326114N/AN/A4
12/31/2026309108N/AN/A4
3/31/2026-23-1488185N/A
12/31/2025-29-1507479N/A
9/30/2025-79-188-9-3N/A
6/30/2025212521319N/A
3/31/2025201451015N/A
12/31/20241863516N/A
9/30/2024181216570N/A
6/30/2024177196367N/A
3/31/2024180246270N/A
12/31/2023185288189N/A
9/30/2023224747785N/A
6/30/2023233827583N/A
3/31/2023240888691N/A
12/31/2022248938894N/A
9/30/20222459495100N/A
6/30/20222439396101N/A
3/31/202223690100101N/A
12/31/202123287105106N/A
9/30/202123488103105N/A
6/30/2021233859699N/A
3/31/2021222777984N/A
12/31/2020209687379N/A
9/30/2020207656873N/A
6/30/2020202657581N/A
3/31/2020206678491N/A
12/31/201920167N/A174N/A
9/30/201919061N/A172N/A
6/30/201917754N/A161N/A
3/31/201916751N/A154N/A
12/31/201816653N/A72N/A
9/30/201816448N/A76N/A
6/30/201815843N/A68N/A
3/31/201815138N/A60N/A
12/31/201714333N/A49N/A
9/30/201713231N/A51N/A
6/30/201713030N/A40N/A
3/31/201712627N/A35N/A
12/31/201612024N/A26N/A
9/30/201611824N/A25N/A
6/30/201611322N/A31N/A
3/31/201610520N/A33N/A
12/31/201510020N/A35N/A
9/30/20159719N/A21N/A
6/30/20159120N/A28N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HBNC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: HBNC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: HBNC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HBNC's revenue (86.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HBNC's revenue (86.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if HBNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/27 23:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/27 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brendan NosalHovde Group, LLC
Damon DelMonteKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Nathan RacePiper Sandler Companies