Stock Analysis

Horizon Bancorp (NASDAQ:HBNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.16

NasdaqGS:HBNC
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The board of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:HBNC) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 18th of October, with investors receiving $0.16 per share. The dividend yield will be 4.1% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Horizon Bancorp's stock price has increased by 35% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

View our latest analysis for Horizon Bancorp

Horizon Bancorp Not Expected To Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained.

Horizon Bancorp has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. But while this history shows that the company was able to sustain its dividend for a decent period of time, its most recent earnings report shows that the company did not make enough earnings to cover its dividend payout. This is an alarming sign for the sustainability of its dividends, as it may mean that Horizon Bancorpis pulling cash from elsewhere to keep its shareholders happy.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 57.7% over the next year. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the future payout ratio reaching 104% over the next year.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:HBNC Historic Dividend September 24th 2024

Horizon Bancorp Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from $0.196 total annually to $0.64. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 13% over that duration. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Earnings per share has been sinking by 20% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Horizon Bancorp that investors should take into consideration. Is Horizon Bancorp not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.