The board of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:HBNC) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of January, with investors receiving $0.16 per share. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 3.5%.
Horizon Bancorp's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Horizon Bancorp has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Despite this history however, the company's latest earnings report actually shows that it didn't have enough earnings to cover its dividends. This is an alarming sign for the sustainability of its dividends, as it may mean that Horizon Bancorpis pulling cash from elsewhere to keep its shareholders happy.
According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher in the next 3 years. They also estimate that the future payout ratio will be 33% in the same time horizon, so there isn't too much pressure on the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Horizon Bancorp
Horizon Bancorp Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.249 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.64. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.9% over that duration. The growth of the dividend has been pretty reliable, so we think this can offer investors some nice additional income in their portfolio.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Horizon Bancorp's EPS has fallen by approximately 33% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.
An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 17% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.
In Summary
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Horizon Bancorp (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:HBNC
Horizon Bancorp
Operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that engages in the provision of commercial and retail banking services.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential and pays a dividend.
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