Stock Analysis

LiveWire Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:LVWR) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

NYSE:LVWR
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Auto industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 36.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for LiveWire Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LVWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024

How Has LiveWire Group Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LiveWire Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on LiveWire Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is LiveWire Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as LiveWire Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 93% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why LiveWire Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of LiveWire Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for LiveWire Group (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.