Harley-Davidson, Inc.

NYSE:HOG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Harley-Davidson Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Harley-Davidson's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 8.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.9% in 3 years.

Key information

3.1%

Earnings growth rate

8.2%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth26.3%
Revenue growth rate-5.4%
Future return on equity12.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated22 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching

Apr 22
Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching

There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings

Mar 18
There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings

Harley-Davidson: Secular Decline And Market Share Deterioration Weaken Outlook

Mar 04

Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Feb 20
Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Some Investors May Be Worried About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Feb 16
Some Investors May Be Worried About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Jan 31
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Dec 16
Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Harley-Davidson: The Bikes Might Be Fast, But The Investment Is Not

Dec 14

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.1725

Dec 01
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.1725

Harley-Davidson: An Uphill Ride Powered By Its Premium Segments

Dec 01

Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Nov 23
Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)

Nov 08
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Oct 24
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Oct 08
These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.1725

Sep 08
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.1725

Buyback Monster Harley-Davidson Not Appealing Despite New Huge Repurchase Program

Sep 06
author-image

Innovative Strategies And EV Focus Propel Brand Strength In Competitive Markets

Aug 30 Strategic reduction in dealer inventory and continued focus on high-margin products aim to improve financial performance and dealer health.

At US$35.41, Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Aug 11
At US$35.41, Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Is There An Opportunity With Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 45% Undervaluation?

Jul 17
Is There An Opportunity With Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 45% Undervaluation?

Harley-Davidson: Time To Buy The Dip? (Rating Upgrade)

Jun 24

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Jun 16
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG)

May 30
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG)

Harley-Davidson: The Earnings Plunge Is A Chance To Buy This American Legend For Pig Feed

Apr 26

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)?

Apr 24
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)?

Benign Growth For Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Underpins Its Share Price

Apr 09
Benign Growth For Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Underpins Its Share Price

Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Feb 22
Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Harley-Davidson Stock: This Hog Has Stalled

Feb 08

Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 29
Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Jan 15
Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Jan 01
Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Harley-Davidson: Revving Up For Profitability On The Road Ahead

Dec 08

Here's What's Concerning About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Nov 13
Here's What's Concerning About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Harley-Davidson Appears To Be A Value Trap

Oct 17

These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Oct 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HOG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20274,076444N/AN/A3
12/31/20264,19545945070710
12/31/20254,00237635359410
12/31/20245,1874558671,064N/A
9/30/20245,552598770979N/A
6/30/20245,951678713922N/A
3/31/20245,777637604812N/A
12/31/20235,836707547755N/A
9/30/20235,926723475681N/A
6/30/20236,025785532715N/A
3/31/20236,049823287456N/A
12/31/20225,755741397548N/A
9/25/20225,629721481625N/A
6/26/20225,346623438576N/A
3/27/20225,409613823952N/A
12/31/20215,336650856976N/A
9/30/20215,045532868968N/A
6/27/20214,8454891,1101,212N/A
3/28/20214,1791911,2321,349N/A
12/31/20204,05411,0471,178N/A
9/27/20204,4011111,0021,155N/A
6/30/20204,50878817982N/A
3/31/20205,276365648827N/A
12/31/20195,362424687868N/A
9/29/20195,435411717932N/A
6/30/20195,479438739966N/A
3/31/20195,5594858271,047N/A
12/31/20185,7175319921,206N/A
9/30/20185,800539N/A1,179N/A
7/1/20185,635494N/A1,114N/A
4/1/20185,687510N/A1,037N/A
12/31/20175,647522N/A1,005N/A
9/24/20175,529561N/A1,196N/A
6/25/20175,653606N/A1,345N/A
3/26/20175,748628N/A1,293N/A
12/31/20165,996692N/A1,174N/A
9/25/20166,066687N/A1,007N/A
6/26/20166,109713N/A942N/A
3/27/20166,072733N/A967N/A
12/31/20155,995752N/A1,100N/A
9/27/20156,015784N/A1,201N/A
6/28/20155,999794N/A1,190N/A
3/29/20156,175849N/A1,118N/A
12/31/20146,229845N/A1,147N/A
9/28/20146,219846N/A1,119N/A
6/29/20146,261858N/A1,158N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HOG's forecast earnings growth (3.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: HOG's earnings (3.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HOG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HOG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HOG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HOG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/24 04:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Craig KennisonBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research