Harley-Davidson, Inc.

NYSE:HOG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.2b

Harley-Davidson Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Harley-Davidson's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 4.1% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-2.2%

Earnings growth rate

4.48%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth34.0%
Revenue growth rate-4.1%
Future return on equity8.92%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Harley-Davidson Q4: Weak Earnings Amid Strategy Reset

Feb 12

Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) A Risky Investment?

Feb 09
Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) A Risky Investment?

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.18

Dec 06
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.18

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 26% Share Price Climb

Aug 29
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 26% Share Price Climb

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Jul 18
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jun 16
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

May 20
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching

Apr 22
Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching

There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings

Mar 18
There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings

Harley-Davidson: Secular Decline And Market Share Deterioration Weaken Outlook

Mar 04

Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Feb 20
Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Some Investors May Be Worried About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Feb 16
Some Investors May Be Worried About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Jan 31
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Dec 16
Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Harley-Davidson: The Bikes Might Be Fast, But The Investment Is Not

Dec 14

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.1725

Dec 01
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.1725

Harley-Davidson: An Uphill Ride Powered By Its Premium Segments

Dec 01

Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Nov 23
Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Potentially Undervalued?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)

Nov 08
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG)

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Oct 24
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Oct 08
These 4 Measures Indicate That Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Is Using Debt Extensively

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.1725

Sep 08
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.1725

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HOG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20283,753N/AN/AN/A2
12/31/20273,80217017637912
12/31/20263,6833218022312
12/31/20254,473339415569N/A
9/30/20254,665501392550N/A
6/30/20254,475243821996N/A
3/31/20254,7863549211,101N/A
12/31/20245,1874558671,064N/A
9/30/20245,552598770979N/A
6/30/20245,951678713922N/A
3/31/20245,777637604812N/A
12/31/20235,836707547755N/A
9/30/20235,926723475681N/A
6/30/20236,025785532715N/A
3/31/20236,049823287456N/A
12/31/20225,755741397548N/A
9/25/20225,629721481625N/A
6/26/20225,346623438576N/A
3/27/20225,409613823952N/A
12/31/20215,336650856976N/A
9/30/20215,045532868968N/A
6/27/20214,8454891,1101,212N/A
3/28/20214,1791911,2321,349N/A
12/31/20204,05411,0471,178N/A
9/27/20204,4011111,0021,155N/A
6/30/20204,50878817982N/A
3/31/20205,276365648827N/A
12/31/20195,362424687868N/A
9/29/20195,435411N/A932N/A
6/30/20195,479438N/A966N/A
3/31/20195,559485N/A1,047N/A
12/31/20185,717531N/A1,206N/A
9/30/20185,800539N/A1,179N/A
7/1/20185,635494N/A1,114N/A
4/1/20185,687510N/A1,037N/A
12/31/20175,647522N/A1,005N/A
9/24/20175,529561N/A1,196N/A
6/25/20175,653606N/A1,345N/A
3/26/20175,748628N/A1,293N/A
12/31/20165,996692N/A1,174N/A
9/25/20166,066687N/A1,007N/A
6/26/20166,109713N/A942N/A
3/27/20166,072733N/A967N/A
12/31/20155,995752N/A1,100N/A
9/27/20156,015784N/A1,201N/A
6/28/20155,999794N/A1,190N/A
3/29/20156,175849N/A1,118N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HOG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: HOG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HOG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HOG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HOG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HOG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/27 14:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/27 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Craig KennisonBaird
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays