Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) Even After Diving 32%

NasdaqGS:LCID
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Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) shares have had a horrible month, losing 32% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 57% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Lucid Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 10.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Lucid Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LCID Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 13th 2024

What Does Lucid Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Lucid Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Lucid Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Lucid Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 92% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lucid Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Lucid Group's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Lucid Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look into Lucid Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Lucid Group you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lucid Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.