The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Unitech Computer Co., Ltd. (TPE:2414) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Unitech Computer
What Is Unitech Computer's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Unitech Computer had NT$1.47b of debt, an increase on NT$1.30b, over one year. However, it does have NT$389.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$1.08b.
A Look At Unitech Computer's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Unitech Computer had liabilities of NT$4.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$326.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$389.3m in cash and NT$3.71b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$384.2m.
Since publicly traded Unitech Computer shares are worth a total of NT$4.19b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Unitech Computer's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 31.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. We note that Unitech Computer grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Unitech Computer will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Unitech Computer reported free cash flow worth 7.2% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Unitech Computer's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Unitech Computer can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Unitech Computer you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TWSE:2414
Unitech Computer
Engages in the information technology product channel business in Asia, America, Europe, and Oceania.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.