Stock Analysis

Avision (TPE:2380) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

TWSE:2380
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Avision Inc. (TPE:2380) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Avision

What Is Avision's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Avision had NT$590.8m of debt, up from NT$448.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have NT$545.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$45.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2380 Debt to Equity History February 28th 2021

How Strong Is Avision's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Avision had liabilities of NT$1.11b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$370.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$545.0m as well as receivables valued at NT$269.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$670.1m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Avision has a market capitalization of NT$1.48b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Avision will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Avision made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to NT$1.5b, which is a fall of 19%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While Avision's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping NT$496m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled NT$172m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Avision (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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