David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Oxley Holdings Limited (SGX:5UX) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Oxley Holdings
How Much Debt Does Oxley Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, Oxley Holdings had S$1.36b of debt at December 2023, down from S$2.10b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$48.9m, its net debt is less, at about S$1.31b.
How Healthy Is Oxley Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Oxley Holdings had liabilities of S$1.44b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$399.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$48.9m as well as receivables valued at S$1.22b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$568.4m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$338.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Oxley Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Oxley Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Oxley Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$366m, which is a fall of 57%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Oxley Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost S$18m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of S$93m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Oxley Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:5UX
Oxley Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the investment and development of properties in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Cambodia, Malaysia, Australia, and the People’s Republic of China.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.