Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Avarga Limited (SGX:U09) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Avarga
What Is Avarga's Debt?
As you can see below, Avarga had S$31.0m of debt at December 2022, down from S$63.0m a year prior. However, it does have S$99.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of S$68.9m.
A Look At Avarga's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Avarga had liabilities of S$187.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$106.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$99.9m in cash and S$159.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$34.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Avarga shares are worth a total of S$172.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Avarga also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Avarga's EBIT dived 11%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Avarga's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Avarga may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Avarga recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
Although Avarga's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of S$68.9m. So we don't have any problem with Avarga's use of debt. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Avarga's earnings per share history for free.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:U09
Avarga
An investment holding company, engages in manufacturing and trading of paper products in Canada, the United States, Malaysia, Singapore, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Australia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet slight.