There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, XMReality (STO:XMR) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 228%. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for XMReality shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
See our latest analysis for XMReality
When Might XMReality Run Out Of Money?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. XMReality has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the kr19m in cash it held at December 2020. Importantly, its cash burn was kr20m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of around 11 months as of December 2020. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is XMReality Growing?
It was fairly positive to see that XMReality reduced its cash burn by 30% during the last year. On top of that, operating revenue was up 33%, making for a heartening combination It seems to be growing nicely. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
Can XMReality Raise More Cash Easily?
XMReality seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
XMReality's cash burn of kr20m is about 6.7% of its kr293m market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
So, Should We Worry About XMReality's Cash Burn?
Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought XMReality's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 6 warning signs for XMReality you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About OM:XMR
XMReality
Engages in the development and sale of solutions for knowledge transfer through augmented reality (AR) worldwide.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.
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