Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Formpipe Software AB (publ) (STO:FPIP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Formpipe Software
What Is Formpipe Software's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Formpipe Software had kr40.1m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have kr27.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr12.7m.
A Look At Formpipe Software's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Formpipe Software had liabilities of kr214.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr85.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr27.4m and kr101.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr170.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Formpipe Software shares are worth a total of kr1.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Formpipe Software has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Formpipe Software has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.23. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 51.8 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Formpipe Software grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Formpipe Software can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Formpipe Software actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
The good news is that Formpipe Software's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think Formpipe Software is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Formpipe Software that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About OM:FPIP
Formpipe Software
Provides software and consulting services for capturing, structuring, and distributing information in Sweden, Denmark, the Netherlands, Great Britain, Germany, and the United States.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.