Is Seamless Distribution Systems (NGM:SDS) Using Debt Sensibly?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Seamless Distribution Systems AB (publ) (NGM:SDS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Seamless Distribution Systems

What Is Seamless Distribution Systems's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Seamless Distribution Systems had debt of kr235.5m, up from kr207.6m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NGM:SDS Debt to Equity History May 12th 2024

A Look At Seamless Distribution Systems' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Seamless Distribution Systems had liabilities of kr93.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr212.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr3.70m as well as receivables valued at kr119.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr182.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr93.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Seamless Distribution Systems would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Seamless Distribution Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Seamless Distribution Systems wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.9%, to kr265m. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Seamless Distribution Systems produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost kr9.1m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through kr33m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Seamless Distribution Systems you should be aware of, and 3 of them are concerning.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Moderna nearly tripled overnight, and every other mRNA stock jumped with it. I think that could be a trap.

Moderna nearly tripled overnight, and every other mRNA stock jumped with it. I think that could be a trap. cover
138
PR
pri_dlp7z

Happy for the melanoma patients. It is no surprise that other companies moved up too. It's the optionality getting priced in.

QU
Quantanium

There’s a 60% to 85% probability of the vaccine being approved based on historical drug development data. Could be a lot of scrutiny by the FDA due to the novel platform used.

Market might be getting a little ahead of itself here.

About NGM:SDS

Seamless Distribution Systems

Supplies payment systems for mobile phones in Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally.

Moderate risk with mediocre balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RI
Rick_Orford
FJET logo
Rick_Orford on Starfighters Space ·

The 1960s Fighter Jet That Could Crack Open a $20 Billion Satellite Market

Fair Value:US$520.6% undervalued
54 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
MELI logo
John_Eric on MercadoLibre ·

MercadoLibre and the Spreadsheet Trick That Decides Everything

Fair Value:US$7.31k73.9% undervalued
99 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
RC
PYPL logo
rcb9 on PayPal Holdings ·

Ten Percent More Volume, One Percent More Transaction Margin

Fair Value:US$70.8913.6% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
HE
HedgeY
MU logo
HedgeY on Micron Technology ·

Micron - The Memory Bottleneck Behind the AI Supercycle

Fair Value:US$1.25k25.0% undervalued
38 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
12 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

DA
AIIO logo
david_1211213 on Robo.ai ·

Robo.ai (AIIO): A Long-Term Bullish Technical Setup

Fair Value:US$5.6449.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
WRLG logo
RockeTeller on West Red Lake Gold Mines ·

This Junior Gold Mine Just Hit Commercial Production, 120k oz Roadmap at $7,000 Gold

Fair Value:CA$4.3681.4% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AS
AstrisCorporateAdvisory
9436 logo
AstrisCorporateAdvisory on Okinawa Cellular Telephone ·

Mobile strategy pays off as churn falls

Fair Value:JP¥3.26k23.3% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
NVDA logo
oscargarcia on NVIDIA ·

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value:US$28022.3% undervalued
331 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
CU
MSFT logo
CubanEros on Microsoft ·

A wonderful business at reasonable price.

Fair Value:US$419.9115.3% overvalued
184 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
KI
AMZN logo
KiwiInvest on Amazon.com ·

Amazon's high growth, high tech segments propel its profits, while traditional segments plod along

Fair Value:US$475.0944.0% undervalued
209 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative