Stock Analysis

Comintelli AB (publ) (NGM:COMINT) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

NGM:COMINT
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Comintelli's (NGM:COMINT) recent performance, when its stock has declined 16% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Comintelli's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Comintelli

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Comintelli is:

9.8% = kr1.7m ÷ kr17m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SEK1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SEK0.10 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Comintelli's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

To start with, Comintelli's ROE looks acceptable. Even so, when compared with the average industry ROE of 16%, we aren't very excited. On further research, we found that Comintelli's earnings over the past five years have been pretty flat. Bear in mind, the company does have a respectable level of ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is higher. So there might be other reasons for the flat earnings growth. These include low earnings retention or poor capital allocation.

As a next step, we compared Comintelli's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 20% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NGM:COMINT Past Earnings Growth November 22nd 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Comintelli is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Comintelli Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Summary

Overall, we feel that Comintelli certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Comintelli and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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